Monday, April 7, 2014

Put A Damper On It...

Good Morning!

Mainly cloudy throughout the area with a few peeks of sunshine as I write this post.  We'll replace that sun with some rain showers and cooler air this evening and into tonight, but things do improve for the second half of the week.  Let's take a deeper dive:

APRIL SHOWERS FOR TONIGHT & TOMORROW:  Visible and water vapor satellite imagery show the low pressure system marching northeast as we speak.

Here you see where I have marked the approximate location of the low and the track it's expected to take.  By daybreak tomorrow it should be just northeast of Detroit.
Instead of the center of low pressure moving right over us, it misses just east.  No matter though, the end result is cool and damp for lower Michigan, especially south of a straight line from Benton Harbor to Saginaw.  Shower activity should be here in time for evening drive (or perhaps just after), and it continues through mid-morning tomorrow before departing east.  Beyond today, the next credible chance of any widespread shower activity is toward the end of the week.

SEASONABLE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND:  Forecast data indicates the temperatures in the area should be at least in the ballpark right through the entire period.  Average in Jackson is 57, and we're a few degrees cool today and tomorrow, but by the weekend, 70 is knocking at the door!  Won't that feel refreshing?  Average it all out and you're fairly close to that 56-60 range that we tend to be in this time of year.  High amplitude ridging works in from the west and keeps us above normal for the weekend, but early next week, the next rain-maker comes in and brings colder air from Canada with it.  I expect us to return to the lower 50's briefly.

NO SEVERE HERE:  We don't have to worry about severe weather in this part of the world for the next three days, though we do note that the Storm Prediction Center has drawn in a "slight" risk for the southern half of Ohio and the east half of Kentucky, with slivers of Indiana and West Virginia in the mix as well.

Here's the forecast for Jackson and vicinity:

Today - cloudy, developing showers this afternoon and evening, high 51.  Wind SE 4-8 MPH.

Tonight - cloudy, scattered to numerous showers through about 6 AM, low 35.  Wind SE turning SW 5-9 MPH.

Tuesday - cloudy to start, then slowly clearing after midday, high 50.

There's a short-term forecast for you, when I get the time to go into a longer outlook and put graphics in, I will.  have a great day!

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