Friday, November 30, 2012

Are You Sure It's December?

Good Evening!

Mainly cloudy skies lingered around the area today, with a couple of sprinkles mixed in with them as well.  We'll see some clearing tonight and moderation in temperature, with some better chances at rain toward the tail end of the weekend.  Let's take a deeper dive and see what's going on here...

SUMMARY:  We see our temperatures continue their climb, with readings pushing into the 50's tomorrow, and making a run at 60 on Sunday, though for my money, I really think that some rain will put the brakes on our readings getting that high in this part of the world, with temperatures settling comfortably in the mid 50's for Sunday. Mild temperatures persist, we look at a couple of 60 degree readings on Monday then Monday night the bottom falls out of it all and we'll see temperatures plummet back into the upper 40's which is more typical for this time of year, but still above normal, as our average temperatures for the first week of December should be running right around 37 degrees.  Enjoy this unseasonably warm weather while we have it though!  Nighttime lows for the period should bottom out in the low to mid 30's at their lowest point.  We won't see anything below 30 until the middle of next week.

RAIN:  Some clouds move through in fits and starts tonight and into tomorrow, and as a result, we have a slight chance at some rain for Saturday.  Those rain chances drop a bit, then increase sharply as we get into Saturday night and Sunday, when we see scattered to numerous showers move through the area, then that's about it. Drier conditions start to work into the area late Monday evening.  Midweek, you could see some snowflakes with temperatures falling as much as 25 degrees as compared to Monday.  If you take a look at the five day precipitation map from the National Weather Service, you'll see that we are forecast to pick up some decent precipitation between now and Thursday...

5 Day Precipitation Forecast 
This forecast calls for about a half-inch or so of precipitation, and that looks about right based on what I am seeing right now.

Let's take a look at the local forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Liberty Township:

Tonight, partly cloudy skies, lows roll back to near 34, winds SE 4-7 MPH

Saturday, mostly cloudy skies, perhaps an occasional peek at the sun, warmer, high 50.  Winds S 6-12 MPH.

Saturday night, cloudy skies, scattered to numerous showers, temperatures hold nearly steady with a low of 46.  Winds turning SW and increasing to 8-15 MPH.

Sunday, cloudy to start with some afternoon clearing, mild, high 58, winds SW 4-9 MPH.

Sunday night, partly cloudy skies, lows near 44.  Winds SW 4-7 MPH.

Monday, partly to mostly sunny skies, unseasonably warm, showers developing late, high 62.

Tuesday, scattered showers start to taper off  under partly cloudy skies, much cooler, highs only make it to 46.

Wednesday, periods of clouds and sun, perhaps a stray flurry or two as highs struggle to 40.

Thursday, continued partly sunny, a touch warmer, high 44.

There's a look at your six day forecast, I do hope that you have a great evening!  Blessings.

Thursday, November 29, 2012

Quick Look For Thursday

Good Morning!

We have a few clouds in the area to start this Thursday, but those should move away by lunchtime and leave us plenty of sunshine, and best of all, warming temperatures!  High pressure and an upper air ridge are set to park in the area for a couple of days, bringing us unseasonably mild weather for the first of December!  Here's my forecast for today...



I don't want to jinx it, but forecast models are tossing around the idea of a 60 degree day on Sunday!  I'm not convinced at this point, I'll take a look at it and have more details for you as the weekend draws nearer.  I hope your Thursday is a great one!

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Quick Look For Wednesday

Good Morning!

We have a nice sunrise to start this hump day Wedenesday, but there are some clouds in the area, just a slight upper wave that shouldn't do much of anything in terms of creating precipitation.  Here's my forecast for today...



I hope that you have a great day!

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Quick Look At Tuesday

Good Morning!  We have plenty of sunshine this Tuesday, and the cold temperatures to boot.  Most places are checking in with readings in the 20's.  Ann Arbor, Howell, and Adrian are the warm spots with 24 degrees.  Here's my forecast.



Have a great day!

Monday, November 26, 2012

Quick Look At Monday...

Good Morning!

Some clouds greet us today in South Central Michigan, with temperatures staying below 40 degrees.  We keep a cloud deck overhead for most of the day today, with some breaks in the clouds developing late.  Here's my forecast for today:



I hope you have a great day!

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Gray And Chilly For Now

Good Morning!

I have been busy and a little sick the last couple of days, hence no blog updates.  I will have to own up to a precipitation bust based on the forecast that I put out for us on Thanksgiving say, as we has some snow with some accumulation, especially as you travel north.  Not much of anything in the blog area per se, but still snow is snow.  At any rate, let's pop the hood and see what's running the next few days.

SUMMARY:  Cloudy skies and snow flurries or even some light snow have been the rule the last few days.  Temperatures have stayed around freezing all day and dropped back into the mid 20's during the nighttime hours.  We change that pattern a little bit today, with a peek or two at some sunshine and temperatures that climb just a couple of degrees.  That being said, we'll have more than enough clouds to generate some snow flurries, so don't get too excited though, as we'll see readings give back any gains they make today and go back to the near freezing regime.  If forecast models have it right, a warm-up is on the way in time for the weekend, with temperatures climbing into the lower 50's by a week from today!  That will feel nice for the first week of December.  Now, for all you fine folks in the North zone of the blog, it appears that the summary will fit for you all too, you'll just need to knock 3-5 degrees off the forecast temperatures as I write them for Jackson County typically.

PRECIPITATION:  Nothing of any real substance in this part of the world.  It's a totally different story in the Upper Peninsula, as well over toward Saginaw and Alpena.  Six inches of snow or so are on the ground in the U.P., with snow amounts around an inch or so in Saginaw County.

It should be fairly quiet regarding anything falling from the sky until the weekend, when we see a shot at some rain showers as temperatures climb back toward 50 degrees.  Here's a look at the current five day precipitation forecast:

5 Day Precipitation Forecast
Just a trace of precipitation in the area expected through 7 AM Friday.

SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing in this part of the nation for the next three days according to the Storm Prediction Center, however there is a "slight" risk for severe weather in the ArkLaTex and far eastern Oklahoma for tomorrow.

Here's a look at the current temperatures.  We haven't made it above freezing quite yet in South Central Michigan...


And there's plenty of clouds in the visible satellite image.

Visible Satellite Image
Here's the forecast for Jackson County:

Today, mainly cloudy, maybe a break or two in the clouds, some flurries possible, cold, high 37.  Wind WSW 5-10 MPH.  Wind chills may drop as low as 30.

Tonight, continued variably cloudy, cold, lows near 24.  Wind WNW 6-12 MPH.  Wind chills could drop to near 10 degrees.

Monday, continued mostly cloudy and chilly, high near 37, wind NW 7-14 MPH.  Wind chills will make it feel more like 30-33 degrees.

Monday night, mainly cloudy, cold, lows near 21, wind chills in the teens.

This forecast will get you through today and tomorrow, we will have a complete look at the forecast for you later, including a six day outlook.  Blessings.