Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Winter Storm Tracking Toward S. Central Michigan...

Good Evening!

Though I really wish it weren't so, the area needs to brace for a significant round of winter weather.m  Let's get right to what's going on.

WINTER STORM WARNING:  The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all counties in the blog area except Hillsdale and Lenawee until 11 AM on February 25th.  Hillsdale and Lenawee are under Winter Weather Advisories.  Let's see what we have...

LOW DOWN:  There is a deep surface low currently causing severe weather in the Gulf States, especially Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama:


This first map is the Storm Prediction Center forecast for severe weather through 7 AM tomorrow morning.  As you can see, all the action is in the Deep  South and along the Gulf Coast.  We'll have a bit more time to prepare.


Here's the forecast map off the GFS computer model.  As you can see the low is right over ther triple point of Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.  That's bad news for those folks,  All modes of sever weather are possible, including tornadoes,  There have already been some tornado warnings issued there, and those are on-going as I write this,  I digress though, let's advance the models in time just a little bit...


This is the GFS FutureCast at 1 PM tomorrow afternoon,  You can see that the snow is underway in the area, and you can also see why Hillsdale and Lenawee counties don't yet have a Winter Storm Warning issued.  They may be in rain still!!!

I have to cut this short for now, but stay tuned as this situation evolves.  Prepare for 6-10" of snow if you are under a Winter Storm Warning.

More To Come...