Quick Look For Today & Saturday...

Hello!

As a reminder I will not be doing a full forecast discussion today or tomorrow as I will be laying my grandmother to rest here in Michigan tomorrow morning.  Here's a quick look at the forecast for today and tomorrow:

I hope that you have a great holiday weekend!  Blessings.

A Warm End to Summer With A Few Holiday Showers...

Hello Again!

With a little bit of down time, I am looking at some weather data, and it looks like a few changes are on tap for the weekend.

TEMPERATURES:  Things are poised to warm some in time for the weekend and then cool back down some headed into next week.  The dog days of August show up...right at the end of the month.  Expect temperatures Friday to touch or exceed 90 with dewpoints pushing 70 degrees.  That will make for a humid start to the Labor Day holiday.  After that, we'll see temperatures drop back into the 76-83 range for the rest of the long holiday weekend.

RAIN:  Definitely on the table for the weekend, with Sunday looking like the best day to pick up some scattered showers and perhaps a roaming thunderstorm moving through the area, as what's left of Hurricane Isaac is currently forecast to make it's way up here as a low pressure system and drop some rain on us.  On either side of that, expect clear skies and warm conditions before Labor Day, and mostly clear skies with cooler temperatures after the holiday ends and the low gets out of here.  Look at the impressive rain totals in the latest 5 Day Outlook from the National Weather Service...

5 Day Precipitation Forecast Map

SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing on the board for the next three days here in Michigan, the only risk area in the nation is still down in the Deep South, associated with Isaac.

ISAAC:  Is slowly losing steam as he drags himself further inland.  Odds are he'll lose his Tropical Storm status and be downgraded to a Tropical Depression before dinnertime.  Last update from the National Hurricane Center has these figures for him.  Lowest Pressure: 985mb (this is up from the 972 he was at yesterday, an indicator that he is losing steam); Max Sustained Wind: 40 MPH (again, he's losing steam, was at 70 MPH earlier yesterday); Movement: NW at 9 MPH.  Here's where the National Hurricane Center thinks he'll move over the next few days:

Forecast Track of Isaac through Monday

There are numerous flood warnings out for the Mississippi Gulf Coast, as well as points north and east of New Orleans in Louisiana.  Plaquemines Parish, among others, in Louisiana has been hit especially hard with flooding, as levees were overtopped.  A Tornado Watch is up for parts of Mississippi, Alabama, and Louisiana until 4 PM CDT this afternoon.

This is the visible satellite image, and as you can see, not much going in this part of the world...

Visible Satellite Image

Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Parma and Leoni Township:

Today, sunny, breezy, warm, high 86, winds SW 5-10 MPH.

Tonight, clear and comfortable, low 61.  Winds SW 3-5 MPH.

Friday, continued sunny, becoming hot with increasing humidity, high 91.  Winds SW 5-10 MPH.

Friday night, mainly clear skies, perhaps a couple of passing clouds, low 63, winds S 7-13 MPH.

Saturday, becoming mostly cloudy, perhaps the chance of an isolated afternoon shower, high 81.

Sunday, cloudy skies, not as warm, chance of widely scattered or scattered showers, especially in the south zone, high 81.

Labor Day, mainly cloudy skies, perhaps a few peeks of afternoon sunshine, a scattered shower or two cannot be ruled out, high 82.

Tuesday, skies become partly sunny, not as warm, high 78.

Wednesday, partly sunny skies, cooler, high 73.

That's your forecast for the next six days.  Just a reminder that Friday and Saturday will have just a forecast for that day, due to a death in my family.  Blessings, have a great day!

Quick Look For Thursday...

Good Morning...

Another winner is on tap for South Central Michigan today and tonight, we may start to see some remnants of Hurricane Isaac impact our weather this weekend.  Here's my forecast for today:

Hoping you have a wonderful day!

Quick Look For Wednesday

Here's a quick look at your forecast for Wednesday:

Have a good day!

Short Info For A Few Days...

Hello.

I am writing to let you all know that the next few days I will not be updating much beyond graphic forecasts; my grandmother died at the age of 102 Monday morning.  We will lay her to rest this weekend.  Thank you for your understanding.

Forecaster Mike

Gooorgeous Now...Isaac's Leftovers May Dampen The Weekend...

Hello Again!

Now that the frontal system has moved through, we have high pressure parked over us, and beautiful weather on tap for the next few days in South Central Michigan.  The big weather story of course is Tropical Storm Isaac, as he lines up Mississippi and Louisiana for a landfall target.  We'll delve a bit into that a little later.  At this point, we may see some impact from what's left of Isaac, but that's it.  Deeper dive, here we go...

TEMPERATURES:  The temperature profiles here hold constant right through the end of the week.  We'll see temperatures stay in the 75-83 range during the day, and the night could see lows flirting with the upper 40's.  We'll see low humidity and mild conditions.  All in all, WONDERFUL.

RAIN:  We don't see any rain in the forecast again until the weekend.  Friday and Saturday, we'll have a chance at some scattered showers in the area, especially in the the south zone of the blog, but after that, we should be in decent shape for Labor Day.  It's hard to believe that the unofficial end of summer is in sight.  It certainly was a hot and dry one, for the record books.  Enjoy these last few days of summer, keep an umbrella handy for the weekend.  Here's a look at the National Weather Service's rain forecast for the next five days:

5 Day Precipitation Forecast

As you can see, there is plenty of moisture available from what will be left of Isaac as he comes ashore.  Right now we are expected to be just north of the heavier rain.  This is subject to change, as the final track is tweaked and changed in subsequent model runs and forecasts.

SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing is expected here in Michigan for the next three days according to the Storm Prediction Center.  All of the severe weather in the country seems to be confined to the areas impacted by Isaac making landfall.

ISAAC:  It's a fair presumption that people all over the nation, and especially meteorologists and weather fanatics, now have their eyes turned toward the Gulf Coast as Isaac lumbers in toward landfall.  Here's a look at the latest track map from the National Hurricane Center...

Forecast Track  and information from Tropical Storm Isaac - National Hurricane Center

Alabama and Florida have Tropical Storm Warnings,  Mississippi and the east half of the Louisiana Gulf Coast have Hurricane Warnings.  Isaac is tracking NE at 10 MPH, and has maximum sustained winds of 70 MPH.  The western half of Louisiana has a Tropical Storm Warning, and Texas has a Tropical Storm Watch.  If you refer to the graphic of rainfall in the rain section above, you will see that the big rains come all the way up into Indiana and Ohio into the weekend.  This situation will continue to develop and change as the day progresses, so keep a good source of information at hand if you have friends or family down toward the Gulf Coast.

Mandatory evacuations of the coast have been undertaken in Louisiana and Mississippi.

OK, back to closer to home.  We will have plenty of time to deal with any leftover rain from Isaac coming this way in due course.  The satellite shows beautiful clear skies...

Visible Satellite Image

And here's the forecast:

For the rest of Tuesday, sunny, mild, gorgeous, high 83, winds NNW 5-10 MPH.

Tonight, more clear moonlit skies, cool, low 52, winds 5-10 MPH.

Wednesday, continued clear and mild, high 82.  Winds ESE 5-10 MPH.

Wednesday night, plenty of stars, not quite as cool, low 54, winds s 5-8 MPH.

Thursday, keep the great weather going, sunny and mild, high 84, winds SSW 5-8 MPH.

Friday, clear to start then increasing clouds, we'll introduce a chance of an isolated shower starting late afternoon into the early evening, high 84.

Saturday, cloudy skies, a chance of a scattered shower through lunchtime then slowly clearing, high 83.

Sunday, mainly clear skies, perhaps a couple of lingering clouds, high 81.

Monday, starts clear, then some mixed sunshine in the afternoon, perhaps the chance of an isolated or widely scattered shower, high 82.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great Tuesday!  Blessings.

Quick Look For Tuesday...

Good Morning!

Here's a quick look at the first of a few wonderful days in Michigan:

I'll have the complete forecast for you a bit later today!

Quick Look For Monday

Good Morning!

Yes it starts gray today, but we need the rain, and it will be gorgeous starting tonight!

Complete forecast and discussion on the way!

One More Nice Day, Some Rain Headed In...

Good Morning!

If you look closely in South Central Michigan, some of the trees are already starting to show some fall colors.  It certainly won't feel that way for the next few days though.  Let's pop the hood and see what we have going on...

TEMPERATURES:  We'll see temperatures stay in the 77 to 84 range over the next several days, even though we get to or touch 90 again today in places throughout the blog, especially in the south zone.  A front is making it's way through Illinois and Wisconsin at this hour, and we will begin to feel the impact of that system late this evening and into tonight, with a wind shift and developing precipitation.  Our evenings will be cooler than they have been, with lows beginning to give an autumn look, parking in the lower or mid 50's during the overnight hours.  All in all, a late summer/early fall pattern.

RAIN:  We'll definitely pick up some rain late this evening and tonight, as the front approaches, some scattered showers and thunderstorms will fire in the area, giving us some welcome rain.  Don't forget we are still in a drought situation, so any rain that we get is welcome and needed.  Here's what the National Weather Service thinks our rain picture for the next five days looks like...

5 Day Precipitation Forecast, note the high rain forecast totals from Isaac in the Southeast US!

Just look at that rain zone from Isaac for the next five days - flooding will definitely be an issue in low lying and coastal areas.  Here's in Michigan, we have one wild card that could indirectly affect us, and that's soon to be Hurricane Isaac.  Computer forecast models regarding him have done two things: 1) shifted the landfall bullseye west, more over Alabama and Louisiana than in past days, and 2) the extended outlook loops a n Isaac remnant low pressure system through Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois and Indiana.  Depending on how that low track shapes up in reality, we could have some unsettled weather as a result.  So while no direct impact from Isaac, what's left of him could interact with things up this way and create some precipitation midweek.

SEVERE WEATHER:  Again, a pretty quiet look as a whole on the severe weather end of it for this part of the world, just some general thunderstorm activity due to the approaching frontal system tonight.  In fact, for the next three days, all of your significant severe weather risk is related to Isaac and basically confined to the Gulf Coast from Louisiana east to Florida and the Keys.  Just a general risk for Michigan today and tomorrow.

Visible satellite and radar composite overlay tell the story, you can see the approaching front and the showers and storms associated with it, nothing but sunny skies with some high clouds in the area at this hour...

Visible Satellite Image with NEXRAD Composite Overlay

Here's the local forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Spring Arbor and Grass Lake.

Today, mostly sunny skies, clouds thicken as the day progresses, high 89, winds S 5-10 MPH.

Tonight, increasing clouds, scattered showers and a few thunderstorms develop later in the evening, lows only roll back to 67, winds SW 5-10 MPH.

Monday, scattered showers and a few embedded storms, then clearing after lunchtime, a bit cooler, high 80 winds NW 5-10 MPH.

Monday night, skies become mostly moonlit, winds die down, low 56, winds NW 3-8 MPH.

Tuesday, clear skies and cooler, high 79.

Wednesday, continued mostly sunny and mild, high 78.

Thursday, plenty of sunshine, warmer, high 85.

Friday, still mainly clear, perhaps a couple of passing clouds, high 83.

Saturday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, still seasonably pleasant, high 80.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, i do hope that you have a wonderful Sunday.  Blessings.

OZONE ADVISORY - LIVINGSTON, WASHTENAW, LENAWEE

The National Weather Service in Detroit has issued an advisory for high ozone levels in Livingston, Washtenaw, and Lenawee counties.  Use caution if outdoors, especially if you have breathing difficulties such as asthma.

Quick Sunday Outlook

Good Morning!

Another warm one today that looks to turn wet after dark...

The complete forecast and discussion will be posted later!  Enjoy the day!