Good Afternoon!
Still seasonably cold in the area with a Canadian Special bringing us cold northerly flow out from north of the border. We expect this pattern to persist for the next few days, then we'll start to see some changes around mid-week. Let's have a look and see what's going on...
A PAIR OF PLAYERS: Two players on the field to be concerned about. The first is an upper low currently over eastern Nebraska/western Iowa, that will become a closed low over the next several hours and progress southeasterly. That is responsible for the Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings well to our south.
The second player is another upper low that is a fair ways into Canada. It's currently several hundred miles northwest of us, but I expect it to be here at some point on Tuesday based on the available forecast data.
WHAT DO THEY DO?: Well, the upper low heading southeast doesn't directly impact us itself, but it does appear that it will change up the track of the Canadian upper low a little bit in our favor. Additionally, this low is the one that New York and New England were concerned would be the third nor'easter in 2 weeks, but the forecast data is indicating that he'll just march right out to sea and keep on going - so no wraparound snow or anything like that to worry about.
The second one in Canada right now? 1) He'll keep cold air working into Michigan until the latter part of the week; 2) Tomorrow night into Tuesday, we'll see the chance of a few flurries or some light snow. I don't really think we'll see a ton in the way of accumulation because there's not a whole lot of moist air for this system to work with.
WARMING UP: Good news! Milder conditions are on the way. I expect to see some 50's and possibly a 60 or two around the area for the weekend. Enjoy it because things change again to start the new work week!
A NEW SHOT OF PRECIPITATION: I expect us to see some sun on Monday, but clouds will thicken as the next weather-maker approaches us from the east. We'll also be close enough to the leading edge of some cold air that there is some uncertainty at this time as to whether we'll be seeing all rain, all snow, or a wintry mix. Behind that, temperatures will be falling back into a more winter-like range with clearing as well.
Here's the forecast:
This evening: Increasing clouds as the night wears on, lows roll back to near 22.
Monday - More clouds than sunshine, seasonable, high 39.
Monday Night - Cloudy with a chance of some light snow - lows near 21.
Tuesday - Partly cloudy and chilly, high near 37.
Wednesday - Partly cloudy, high 43.
Thursday - A mix of clouds and sun, not as cold, high 48.
Friday - Mainly sunny and warmer, high 51.
Have a great rest of your Sunday
