Sunday, February 11, 2018

Winter's Usual Pattern...

Good Evening!

Has it really been over 8 months since I have posted on this blog!?  WOW!  I guess when you're working 2 jobs to pay the bills that's what happens.  At any rate, looking like some moderation and relief from the bone numbing cold is on the way.  Let's have a look and see what's going on...

CLOUDS MOVING OUT - SLOWLY:  Infrared satellite shows clouds slowing working through Michigan with westerly winds pushing.  We note the Canadian air coming in behind all of this as well...


Readings currently in the 20's at all reporting stations with varying degrees of cloudiness at this hour.

STILL COLD:  We'll get the clouds out of here and then the cold Canadian air is free to roll in.  Single digit lows will greet you as you head out the door to work in the morning, with subzero wind chills, all the way down to near 10 below zero!  Fortunately those won't stick around long enough to present any sort of issue where a Wind Chill Warning is needed - at least not right now.  That will be the pattern for the next few days, with daytime highs not getting out of the 20's and lows in the single digits, with wind chills making it feel like zero or worse until Wednesday.

MIDWEEK MODERATION:  Temperatures will finally get north of freezing mid week, with daytime highs around South Central Michigan set to get into the mid to upper 30's, and some areas may even stretch into the 40's.  Positively balmy as compared to what's going on now!  Forecast data is suggesting a high of 45 in Jackson for Wednesday, but I think that's a bit ambitious on the model's part.  I'll say 40-43 would work though. The bad news is those readings stick around for only a day or two, then back to the daytime highs in the 20's and very cold nights bit again.  The next chance for any moderation appears to be Sunday.

PRECIPITATION:  Coincident with the brief warm-up mid-week, we'll need to introduce the chance of some rain into the picture as well.  I would say anywhere from a 3 in 10 to 50 - 50 chance of some showers would fill the bill.

LOOKING AHEAD:    The full scoop is still a ways off, but mid week next week, the Tuesday/Wed timeframe, forecast data is suggesting the chance of a wintry mix of precipitation.  Be aware of this planning your travels next week.

Here's the forecast:

Tonight - Clearing skies and cold, lows roll back to near 11.

Monday - Mostly sunny, continued seasonably cold, highs only near 28.

Monday Night - Mainly clear, some passing clouds - very cold.  Lows down to 6 with wind chills below zero likely.

Tuesday - Partly to mainly sunny, a touch warmer, high 29.

Wednesday - More clouds than sun, chance of rain, warmer, high 43.

Thursday - Continued mainly cloudy, rain still a possibility, high 46.

Friday - Continued mainly overcast, but sharply colder as a cold front moves through, highs top out near 29.

Saturday - Clearing skies, becoming mostly sunny, warmer, high 36.

I hope you have a great evening!