Severe Weather Possible Today...

Good Morning!

Just enough time to let you know that today South Central Michigan is under a "marginal" risk for severe weather according to the Storm Prediction Center.  Have a look at the map below:

About the only counties in the blog area that are not impacted by this are Clinton and Shiawassee.  All other counties are included.  Fortunately I do not expect any tornadic severe weather, but what I do expect is a marching line of strong to severe storms with some damaging straight-line winds and some hail, potentially up to quarter sized as the main threats.  That being said, please have a way to get any warnings and know what to do if you come under one.  And while I said I don't expect any tornadic weather, quick spin-up tornadoes can and do like to hide in a line of storms.  We'll have to see if we get any cellular storms to start before the line organizes and starts marching, and we won't know about that until we see how the atmosphere recovers and resets from the AM showers and such that moved through.

Stay weather aware and be safe today!

Springtime Severe On The Way?

Good Morning!

South Central Michigan could see it's first spring severe weather tomorrow afternoon and evening.  Let's get right into it.

NOT MUCH TO WORRY WITH TODAY:  We don't have a whole lot to concern ourselves with today, as I expect mainly clear and chilly, but tomorrow will be a whole different issue.

STORMS TOMORROW:  With the approach of a low that's starting it's trip on the eastern plains of  Colorado today, skies will cloud up and moisture streaming north from the Gulf Of Mexico will run into the low and we'll see some showers and thunderstorms, some of these could be locally strong or severe, with gusty winds and possibly a bit of hail.  The stronger dynamics that would up the ante for severe are south of Michigan, back into Indiana and further southwest.  Have a look at these maps...

You can also see that the system will already be working on our weather just to the southwest, with a marginal risk for severe today being outlined by the Storm Prediction Center.

OK, WHAT ABOUT THE WEATHER TOMORROW?:  Tomorrow's weather will be unsettled.  The feature I referenced above that will touch off the severe weather in our part of the world will also raise temperatures into the 50's with it, thanks to the southerly flow that will be bringing all that moisture up here.  You wouldn't have to go much further north than say Muskegon or Clare to find snow though!  Up in the northern edge of this system in the cold sector, snow will be falling.  As it stands now I don't think we see any in South Central Michigan, we'll re-check that tomorrow.

Quick forecast for the next three days for you, then the straight job awaits....

Today - Increasing clouds, seasonable.  High 46.

Tonight - Cloudy, some widely scattered showers are possible.  Low 33.

Tuesday - Cloudy, a couple of AM showers, then PM showers and storms developing, especially along and south of I-94, some could be locally strong to severe.  High 50.

Wednesday - Continued cloudy and colder, high only 38.

Have a great Monday!