A warm day on tap for South Central Michigan today, west Michigan could see some severe weather this afternoon and evening. Let's get into it all and see what we have...
SEVERE RISK TODAY: Not a very big risk mind you, but I will mention it here for you. Low end, "marginal" risk for the west end of the blog, with the part of that concerning the blog confined to Branch, Calhoun, Eaton, and Clinton counties...
Some scattered PM showers and storms with marginally gusty wind or small hail is possible.
HOW WILL IT FEEL?: Plenty warm, you might even say hot. We're looking at a ridge east/trough west setup, so the warmer air with moisture is being pumped in from points south...
Here you see the band of clouds and moist air I have marked up for you coming in from Hurricane Newton in Mexico, working northeast into the US and across the central Plains, then into the Midwest. I expect mid 80's tomorrow with partly sunny skies early, then clouds increasing as the day progresses After the showers and such get in and through the area, noticeably cooler with readings in the 70's for the balance of the week.
SO HOW MUCH RAIN ARE WE EXPECTING?: I don't expect a major soaking across the board mind you, but any places that do see some storms fire and move could get some locally heavy, albeit brief downpours. Here's what the Weather Prediction Center thinks about rain for the next 5 days:
Here you see the map with about an inch and a half for the western part of the blog, and an inch or so elsewhere. Based on the setup, this will be mainly due to some scattered showers and such traveling the area. Right now the radar is showing a shield of rain showers north of a line from Muskegon to Midland, but I expect them to fill in and sag south as the day wears on.
Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Michigan Center:
Today - Partly sunny to start, then increasing clouds with some developing PM showers and a couple of thunderstorms, especially west of Jackson. High 84.
Tonight - Mainly cloudy with some scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows only roll back to 72.
Thursday - A few lingering showers possible early, then becoming partly to mainly sunny, high 83.
Friday - Mainly clear, cooler. High 75
Saturday - Clouds thicken, scattered to numerous showers and perhaps a storm or two, high 77.
Sunday - Partly sunny and cooler, high 71.
There's your forecast, I hope that you have a great day! Blessings.
