Good Evening!
Showers and thunderstorms continue to work their way through S. Central Michigan at this hour, leaving cool and wet conditions in their wake. A look at NEXRAD radar shows the line weakening and some good soaking rain over southern Ingham, and a good chunk of Jackson County.
LOOKING AHEAD: Tonight we'll see the storms tapering off to showers before they finally dissipate during the nighttime hours. There is a chance we may see a straggling shower or two in the area early tomorrow morning, a peek or two of sun, before scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm reorganize tomorrow after 4 PM. I don't think those will be as strong with the rainfall as the pulse storms that formed and congealed into a line that marched due south this evening.
COOL AND REFRESHING: I did say that we would see some cooler temperatures. It looks like the forecast models were a day too fast regarding the timing, but now that we have the showers and storms moving through the area that's the calling card of the upper air pattern resetting itself. We'll see a ridge/trough deal when we get to the end of all of this, which means cooler and drier for the weekend. The GFS is printing a high of only 75 for tomorrow, which is more of a May temperature! The average temperature in Jackson this time of year is right around 82. We stay there or cooler right through next Friday.
RAIN: Rain chances day right around 50/50 through Sunday, but I really think that we'll see some drying in the next day or so. You may still get a stray shower or two, but for the most part, I expect us to remain fairly dry. A chance at garden variety thunderstorms tomorrow also according to the Storm Prediction Center, then we shouldn't see much of anything for the next few days.
Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas:
Tonight - Storms taper off to showers, lows roll all way the back to 53.
Saturday, mainly cloudy skies with the chance of a couple of showers, high 76. Wind N 4-8 MPH.
Tomorrow night, cloudy, perhaps a couple more showers or maybe a thunderstorm, low 58.
I'll have a 7 day forecast for you soon, have a wonderful evening! Blessings.
Friday, June 28, 2013
More Rain & Storms
Showers and thunderstorms continue to drench South Central Michigan at this hour, more downpours and such can be expected the next couple of hours. You may have gusty winds and small hail, but nothing severe at this point.
Plenty Of Rain For Awhile
Have a look at this radar image. You can expect these cells to drop plenty of rain as they move. This will continue for the next few hours.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - CALHOUN
The National Weather Service In Grand Rapids Has Issued A
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning For...
Eastern Calhoun County In South Central Michigan...
* Until 445 Pm Edt
* At 336 Pm Edt...A Severe Thunderstorm Was Located Near Marshall...
And Moving Southeast At 25 Mph.
Hazard...Quarter Size Hail And 60 Mph Wind Gusts.
Source...Radar Indicated.
Impact...Hail Damage To Vehicles Is Expected. Expect Wind Damage To Roofs...Siding And Trees.
* The Severe Thunderstorm Will Be Near...
Albion And Babcock Around 400 Pm Edt.
Homer Around 410 Pm Edt.
Marshall... Albion... Lee Twp...
Babcock... Homer... Rice Creek...
Marengo... Eckford... Condit...
Clarendon...
...1.00in Wind...60mph
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - WASHTENAW, LIVINGSTON
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
NORTHERN WASHTENAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 100 PM EDT
* AT 1203 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GREGORY...
AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
HUDSON MILLS AROUND 1225 PM EDT.
HUDSON MILLS METROPARK AROUND 1235 PM EDT.
DEXTER AROUND 1240 PM EDT.
DELHI MILLS AROUND 1250 PM EDT.
BARTON HILLS AROUND 1255 PM EDT.
THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...
PINCKNEY... DEXTER...
...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
Thursday, June 27, 2013
Changing Conditions, Increased Risk
Good afternoon. Just a quick post to let everyone know that we are now in the slight risk area for severe weather through tonight and into early tomorrow. As soon as I get some down time I will take a closer look at what we have possibly brewing and try to make sense of it for you.
Wednesday, June 26, 2013
MyWarn App For iPhone and Android
DISCLAIMER: I have not been paid a single penny by the creators of this app for what I am about to say. This is an honest evaluation of the app after having used it for approximately a month on three different devices. Immediately below is the Google Play review.
I highly recommend this app for your use, especially if you have work or family responsibilities that require you be more weather-aware than the average citizen. Even if you don't, you need to have something like this on your smartphone that takes the guesswork out of weather awareness. The most frustrating thing for meteorologists, emergency managers, and even us weather geeks, is the "...we had no warning" statement, when in fact, there typically is PLENTY of warning (just ask the National Weather Service in Norman, or the TV meteorologists in Oklahoma City when the tornadoes laid waste to Moore and El Reno last month).
This app does the watching and listening for you, and it uses the GPS chip in your smartphone to nail down your location. It has an easy to read status page that lights up the appropriate watch or warning in effect for your area, as well as telling you if the Storm Prediction Center has your area in an elevated risk for severe weather.
If a warning is issued and you're in the polygon, the device tones off loudly, lights up the correct warning light, and shows you the affected area, along with text of the warning, and immediate steps to take to protect yourself. If you're in an area with a partner station (they are working on this), you can even tune in to local media for up to the minute information (I personally use PYKL3 Radar and Pro Weather Alert along with this app because of this blog and associated responsibilities with that and outdoor sports, so I need to see the bigger picture). If you're not in the polygon - the beauty of it is that you get to keep sleeping or going about your business without interruption.
I did ask Ryan Stinnett, one of the meteorologists that is behind this app if they plan to add winter weather functionality to it. His answer: "...not right now Mike. We want this to be a tool to eliminate the 'we had no warning' problem, and address the problem of over-warning, which we feel leads to complacency, and increases risk when life-threatening weather pops up with short lead time to act. Winter weather is typically well-forecast with longer lead times, allowing people to do the right thing." He did tell me they are considering adding that in a future release, which in my opinion, would increase the value dramatically, especially up here in the snow belt during the winter.
I really think Bill Murray and crew have done a nice job with this app. After fire-testing it with recent severe events here in Michigan, they have a winner.
My thanks to Bill Murray, Ryan Stinnett, and the gang at WeatherApps LLC in Birmingham, AL for allowing me to fire test an app that can save lives. To see the full story of how this app was born, go to MyWarn.com or click the banner on the right.
Evening Weather Update
Good Evening!
It's 8 PM here in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone, and I wanted to update you. Right now the showers and thunderstorms I predicted, along with the Hi-Res NAM are here and reasonably close in coverage to what was forecast. Let's look at TruTrack Doppler to see what's out there:
This is in the ball park as to what the NAM model suggested earlier today:
Good Job NAM. We'll roll with the forecast as-is, no severe weather expected. Have a good night.
It's 8 PM here in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone, and I wanted to update you. Right now the showers and thunderstorms I predicted, along with the Hi-Res NAM are here and reasonably close in coverage to what was forecast. Let's look at TruTrack Doppler to see what's out there:
This is in the ball park as to what the NAM model suggested earlier today:
Good Job NAM. We'll roll with the forecast as-is, no severe weather expected. Have a good night.
Cooling Down For The Weekend!
Good Afternoon!
With last night's severe weather event behind us, we can turn our attention to the next few days here in South Central Michigan, and the best way to describe it is cooler and much more comfortable. Let's take a deeper dive and see what we have going on:
TEMPERATURES: As we get closer to the weekend, we'll see temperatures trending down, along with humidity values. The upper air flow over Michigan will reset itself into a definite ridge/trough setup across the CONUS. Hot, hot and heated out west, the Desert Southwest will certainly live up to it's name, with temperatures pushing 110 or better! On this side of the nation, that high amplitude pattern allows cool, refreshing troughing to settle in as you work your way east out of the High Plains. Average high temperature should be around 82 this time of the year, and the GFS forecast model is suggesting that after Friday, we don't see 80 again until a week from today! Here's a look at the current temps around the nation. This pattern soon resets:
I'm thinking 82 for tomorrow, then the backtracking of the readings starts. We'll take it. I did say that the cooler conditions are the result of a nice trough setting up. Because of that, among other things, we do have to mention some...
RAIN: Before we discuss this, let me set the record straight on one thing I have learned and seen as forecaster in training: We are in the midst of the summer in the Midwest, and as such, scattered afternoon hit & run showers and thunderstorms are a fact of life. Something else that's a fact, is that computer forecast models, for all of the great assistance they can lend in building a forecast for your day, quite frankly, drop the ball when it comes to this kind of pop-up random shower and storm activity. The qualities of the air around us that dictate the formation of these storms is often missed. Put another way, the microscope isn't strong enough to see and discern the small things you'd have to see to nail a storm forecast in the warm season.
Now that I'm done ranting, here's the deal - today through Saturday, you can expect some mainly PM scattered showers, or possibly an isolated storm 3 or 4 times out of 10 at any given point in the blog, typically after about 4 PM. This evening you'll see some widely scattered to scattered showers or a storm, those will linger but should be about done by morning rush Thursday. Periods of clouds and sunshine with some fairly moist air should generate another round of scattered showers and such tomorrow evening. We may increase the chances of showers and storms, I want to see one more model run, as guidance is indicating that a surface low pops up in the eastern half of Ohio and tracks due east. That will bring us some rain for sure. Let's look at what the Weather Prediction Center is thinking about rain for the next several days:
Plenty of rain in the offing the next week, around two inches here, more as you go east. Let's look at another image. This is a reflectivity forecast off the Hi-Res NAM computer model. In other words, this is what the radar may look like this evening:
As you can see, showers and thunderstorms are afoot.
The good news is that we don't expect a huge outbreak of...
SEVERE WEATHER: We keep just the risk for garden-variety storms around for the next few days, we do note that sever potential is just across Lake Michigan, through Wisconsin and Illinois. Milwaukee, Madison, Chicago, Rockford, Bloomington-Normal are just some of the cities in the mix for that potential rough weather.
Now with all of that out of the way, here's a look at the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Michigan Center:
And looking ahead as we ramp up to the 4th Of July...
There's a look at your forecast for the next several days, I do hope that you have a great Hump Day! Blessings.
With last night's severe weather event behind us, we can turn our attention to the next few days here in South Central Michigan, and the best way to describe it is cooler and much more comfortable. Let's take a deeper dive and see what we have going on:
TEMPERATURES: As we get closer to the weekend, we'll see temperatures trending down, along with humidity values. The upper air flow over Michigan will reset itself into a definite ridge/trough setup across the CONUS. Hot, hot and heated out west, the Desert Southwest will certainly live up to it's name, with temperatures pushing 110 or better! On this side of the nation, that high amplitude pattern allows cool, refreshing troughing to settle in as you work your way east out of the High Plains. Average high temperature should be around 82 this time of the year, and the GFS forecast model is suggesting that after Friday, we don't see 80 again until a week from today! Here's a look at the current temps around the nation. This pattern soon resets:
I'm thinking 82 for tomorrow, then the backtracking of the readings starts. We'll take it. I did say that the cooler conditions are the result of a nice trough setting up. Because of that, among other things, we do have to mention some...
RAIN: Before we discuss this, let me set the record straight on one thing I have learned and seen as forecaster in training: We are in the midst of the summer in the Midwest, and as such, scattered afternoon hit & run showers and thunderstorms are a fact of life. Something else that's a fact, is that computer forecast models, for all of the great assistance they can lend in building a forecast for your day, quite frankly, drop the ball when it comes to this kind of pop-up random shower and storm activity. The qualities of the air around us that dictate the formation of these storms is often missed. Put another way, the microscope isn't strong enough to see and discern the small things you'd have to see to nail a storm forecast in the warm season.
Now that I'm done ranting, here's the deal - today through Saturday, you can expect some mainly PM scattered showers, or possibly an isolated storm 3 or 4 times out of 10 at any given point in the blog, typically after about 4 PM. This evening you'll see some widely scattered to scattered showers or a storm, those will linger but should be about done by morning rush Thursday. Periods of clouds and sunshine with some fairly moist air should generate another round of scattered showers and such tomorrow evening. We may increase the chances of showers and storms, I want to see one more model run, as guidance is indicating that a surface low pops up in the eastern half of Ohio and tracks due east. That will bring us some rain for sure. Let's look at what the Weather Prediction Center is thinking about rain for the next several days:
Plenty of rain in the offing the next week, around two inches here, more as you go east. Let's look at another image. This is a reflectivity forecast off the Hi-Res NAM computer model. In other words, this is what the radar may look like this evening:
As you can see, showers and thunderstorms are afoot.
The good news is that we don't expect a huge outbreak of...
SEVERE WEATHER: We keep just the risk for garden-variety storms around for the next few days, we do note that sever potential is just across Lake Michigan, through Wisconsin and Illinois. Milwaukee, Madison, Chicago, Rockford, Bloomington-Normal are just some of the cities in the mix for that potential rough weather.
Now with all of that out of the way, here's a look at the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Michigan Center:
And looking ahead as we ramp up to the 4th Of July...
There's a look at your forecast for the next several days, I do hope that you have a great Hump Day! Blessings.
Tuesday, June 25, 2013
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - JACKSON
The National Weather Service has issued a:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
* AT 1030 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MUNITH...
AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATERLOO TWP... MUNITH... PLEASANT LAKE...
WATERLOO... TRIST... FRANCISCO...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
* AT 1030 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MUNITH...
AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATERLOO TWP... MUNITH... PLEASANT LAKE...
WATERLOO... TRIST... FRANCISCO...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!
Move indoors until this storm has left the area!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - BRANCH
The National Weather Service has issued a:
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BRANCH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 900 PM EDT
* AT 807 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BRONSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
COLDWATER AROUND 840 PM EDT.
QUINCY AROUND 850 PM EDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE GILEAD...EAST GILEAD...
BATAVIA...LAKE OF THE WOODS...KINDERHOOK...COLDWATER LAKE...
CALIFORNIA AND MARBLE LAKE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BRANCH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 900 PM EDT
* AT 807 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BRONSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
COLDWATER AROUND 840 PM EDT.
QUINCY AROUND 850 PM EDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE GILEAD...EAST GILEAD...
BATAVIA...LAKE OF THE WOODS...KINDERHOOK...COLDWATER LAKE...
CALIFORNIA AND MARBLE LAKE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING.
SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE 8:00 PM EDT
The good news is that as of now, no tornadic weather has been reported or is indicated on radar. That being said, strong to severe storms with hail, gusty winds, and heavy rain are continuing, I expect Branch County to see another warning soon. The storms so far have been capable of producing up to quarter sized hail at times. The action also appears to be coming north a bit, to the I-94 corridor. From what I can see, everything should stay south of I-96 for at least the next hour or so. Here's a look at TruTrack Doppler to see what's going on in the area:
Stay tuned and stay alert to changing weather. Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Branch, Hillsdale, Lenawee, Calhoun, Jackson and Washtenaw counties is still in effect until midnight.
Stay tuned and stay alert to changing weather. Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Branch, Hillsdale, Lenawee, Calhoun, Jackson and Washtenaw counties is still in effect until midnight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - LENAWEE
The National Weather Service has issued a:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LENAWEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 900 PM EDT
* AT 744 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF
HILLSDALE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
ROLLIN AND HUDSON AROUND 755 PM EDT.
CLAYTON AND ROME CENTER AROUND 805 PM EDT.
CADMUS AND SENECA AROUND 810 PM EDT.
SAND CREEK AND WESTON AROUND 815 PM EDT.
FAIRFIELD AND ADRIAN AROUND 820 PM EDT.
PALMYRA AND OGDEN CENTER AROUND 825 PM EDT.
THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...
TECUMSEH... ONSTED... MORENCI...
HUDSON... DEERFIELD... CLINTON...
CLAYTON... CEMENT CITY... BRITTON...
BLISSFIELD... ADRIAN... ADDISON...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!
Head indoors now while you have the time, the storms are moving east at 40 MPH!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LENAWEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 900 PM EDT
* AT 744 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF
HILLSDALE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
ROLLIN AND HUDSON AROUND 755 PM EDT.
CLAYTON AND ROME CENTER AROUND 805 PM EDT.
CADMUS AND SENECA AROUND 810 PM EDT.
SAND CREEK AND WESTON AROUND 815 PM EDT.
FAIRFIELD AND ADRIAN AROUND 820 PM EDT.
PALMYRA AND OGDEN CENTER AROUND 825 PM EDT.
THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...
TECUMSEH... ONSTED... MORENCI...
HUDSON... DEERFIELD... CLINTON...
CLAYTON... CEMENT CITY... BRITTON...
BLISSFIELD... ADRIAN... ADDISON...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!
Head indoors now while you have the time, the storms are moving east at 40 MPH!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - HILLSDALE
The National Weather Service has issued a:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL HILLSDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 800 PM EDT
* AT 726 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
JONESVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSSEO...NORTH ADAMS...SHADYSIDE AND PITTSFORD.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
Here's a look at the storm on radar:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL HILLSDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 800 PM EDT
* AT 726 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
JONESVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSSEO...NORTH ADAMS...SHADYSIDE AND PITTSFORD.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
Here's a look at the storm on radar:
SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE - 7:25 PM EDT
From the National Weather Service:
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD HILLSDALE COUNTY...
AT 722 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF LITCHFIELD...OR 8 MILES WEST OF
HILLSDALE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
HILLSDALE...
JONESVILLE...LAKE WILSON AND BEAR LAKE...
CAMBRIA...
OSSEO...NORTH ADAMS AND SHADYSIDE...
PITTSFORD AND JEROME...
PRATTVILLE...
GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHERN MICHIGAN.
Stay aware of what's coming Hillsdale Co!
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD HILLSDALE COUNTY...
AT 722 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF LITCHFIELD...OR 8 MILES WEST OF
HILLSDALE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
HILLSDALE...
JONESVILLE...LAKE WILSON AND BEAR LAKE...
CAMBRIA...
OSSEO...NORTH ADAMS AND SHADYSIDE...
PITTSFORD AND JEROME...
PRATTVILLE...
GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHERN MICHIGAN.
Stay aware of what's coming Hillsdale Co!
SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE 7:10 EDT
The Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been extended into Hillsdale County now. The storm is about to cross I-69 and continues to ride the US-12 corridor. Litchfield, Allen, Reading, get ready. Coldwater, Quincy, same for you, get ready!
Stay tuned!
Stay tuned!
Storms On The Way!
Good Evening!
Time will tell what we get regarding storms in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone. The stage is set, now we just have to see if Nature is in the mood to bring us some severe weather. Temperatures around the area are in the 80's with dewpoints right around 70. That's quality air for storms to nosh on! Have a look at this map which is a measure of available energy for thunderstorms to feed on, it's called surface-based cape or SBCAPE:
Just look at those numbers...anything above 2000 and you're possibly in for a rough ride!
Have a look at TruTrack Doppler Radar, you can see the lone storm in our area, but the National Weather Service is watching it closely as it is starting to spin: You also see the Severe Thunderstorm Warnings associated with it.
We'll have updates as they become available!
Time will tell what we get regarding storms in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone. The stage is set, now we just have to see if Nature is in the mood to bring us some severe weather. Temperatures around the area are in the 80's with dewpoints right around 70. That's quality air for storms to nosh on! Have a look at this map which is a measure of available energy for thunderstorms to feed on, it's called surface-based cape or SBCAPE:
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| SBCAPE around 3000 Joules in this area! Lot's of energy for hungry storms to feed on! |
Have a look at TruTrack Doppler Radar, you can see the lone storm in our area, but the National Weather Service is watching it closely as it is starting to spin: You also see the Severe Thunderstorm Warnings associated with it.
We'll have updates as they become available!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - SOUTH ZONE OF THE BLOG
Here's what's going on gang - in a nutshell:
Be aware and stay tuned!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - BRANCH
The National Weather Service has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for NW Branch County:
* UNTIL 715 PM EDT * AT 620 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MARCELLUS... AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... THREE RIVERS...CONSTANTINE...CENTREVILLE...COLON...BRONSON...COREY LAKE...CLEAR LAKE...MOORE PARK...FISHERS LAKE...WASEPI...MENDON... NOTTAWA...FINDLEY...FAIRFAX...LEONIDAS...SHERWOOD...MATTESON LAKE AND BURR OAK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING.
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| TruTrack Doppler Radar |
More Storms North Zone
Have a look at this radar image, storms are on their way into Clinton County in the next hour or so. Expect gusty wind and heavy downpours with these guys.
Stormy Tuesday...
Good Morning!
Stormy skies in South Central Michigan today as showers and thunderstorms move through the area. It will cool things down a touch for us and lower the humidity at least a bit, so we'll take it. Things were starting to get kind of dry around here anyway. Let's have a look at what's going on:
RAIN: An upper disturbance is working through the broader setup, and that's your trigger for the activity we have in the area. Have a look at TruTrack Doppler Radar and you'll see all of the rain and the heavier storms working though the south zone counties:
Once these get out of here we may see more activity this afternoon and evening, but for now I do expect some dry hours after about 9:30 AM or so. It will be hard to forecast exactly what will happen, as we need to see what shape the atmosphere is left in after the rains this morning.
SEVERE WEATHER: The Storm Prediction Center down have us in a standard "slight" risk for severe storms. Their thinking is that the atmosphere will recover such that daytime heating will destabilize the air again and kick off some strong storms later this evening off to the west of us in Illinois. The question becomes will that hold together as it travels east. We'll see. Here's a look at the map for you:
Hail, wind and heavy rain look to be the main threats at this point. We'll keep an eye out for watches and such that may be issued as the day progresses.
TEMPERATURES: Expect a high of about 84 today, we'll run heat index values back close to 90 though, then as our next system and a cold front work through, we will see temperatures drop to the upper 70's.
Here's the forecast:
Have a great day!
Stormy skies in South Central Michigan today as showers and thunderstorms move through the area. It will cool things down a touch for us and lower the humidity at least a bit, so we'll take it. Things were starting to get kind of dry around here anyway. Let's have a look at what's going on:
RAIN: An upper disturbance is working through the broader setup, and that's your trigger for the activity we have in the area. Have a look at TruTrack Doppler Radar and you'll see all of the rain and the heavier storms working though the south zone counties:
Once these get out of here we may see more activity this afternoon and evening, but for now I do expect some dry hours after about 9:30 AM or so. It will be hard to forecast exactly what will happen, as we need to see what shape the atmosphere is left in after the rains this morning.
SEVERE WEATHER: The Storm Prediction Center down have us in a standard "slight" risk for severe storms. Their thinking is that the atmosphere will recover such that daytime heating will destabilize the air again and kick off some strong storms later this evening off to the west of us in Illinois. The question becomes will that hold together as it travels east. We'll see. Here's a look at the map for you:
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| Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Outlook |
TEMPERATURES: Expect a high of about 84 today, we'll run heat index values back close to 90 though, then as our next system and a cold front work through, we will see temperatures drop to the upper 70's.
Here's the forecast:
Have a great day!
Strong Storms Coming Through!
Good Morning!
While we don't see any severe storms on the map right now, look at this latest radar image.
Heavy rain with wind and possibly some hail are in the cards this morning so be careful as you drive to work!
Monday, June 24, 2013
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UPDATE
The National Weather Service has canceled the Severe Thunderstorm Watch for all counties in the blog except Branch and Hillsdale. No severe storms expected north of US 12 at this point.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
All counties in the blog are under a severe thunderstorm watch until midnight tonight. Details to follow as soon as my radar and data connectivity issues are resolved.
More Popcorn Storms
It's 3 PM and about time for the popcorn showers and thunderstorms to start, and firing they are. Not much but they are there. There's just a couple of tiny ones in the Detroit Metro area, which isn't even really part of the blog, but I mention them just to say don't be shocked if you see a hit & run shower or storm over the next several hours.
Have a look at this radar image:
Sunday, June 23, 2013
Hot & Sticky....
Already hot here in southern Michigan. Have a look at these pictures:
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| Air temperatures |
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| Dewpoint values |
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| Heat Index values, 87 in Troy, 88 in Ypsilanti, and a few 86's on the board as well. |
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