Good Evening!
We put the finishing touches on a picture perfect day in South Central Michigan. Seasonably mild, abudant sunshine, you just can't beat it! Let's have a look at what's on tap now that there's time for me to really get into detail...
CLEAR SKIES STAY FOR MOST OF MOTHER'S DAY: As it stands now we should be able to get through most of the day tomorrow with sunny and pleasant conditions, but we will ramp up the chances at some showers and thunderstorms of the scattered variety later in the day. You should be able to take Mom out for breakfast or lunch tomorrow with no issues. That being said, you might have some showers if you're planning on dinner out with Mom. For my money, it will be primarily an increasingly cloudy afternoon deal, with rain moving in around or after sunset. We'll need to see how conditions shake out between lunch and 3 PM.
NO SEVERE HERE...YET: Nothing much to see on radar or satellite here in this part of the world, however there is a low kicking up a bit of a fuss in the Plains. Now, in a couple of days, we expect that the system and dynamics causing the ruckus off to the west will be close enough to impact us. Have a look at the Storm Prediction Center forecast map:
If everything lines up as advertised by the Storm Prediction Center, some severe storms with hail and such are on the table for Monday afternoon/evening. We'll need to keep watch on that. If you have friends or loved ones in Kansas, Nebraska or Iowa, get with them and tell them to stay weather-savvy tomorrow, as it looks like a significant severe weather event is shaping up for that part of the world!
WARMING CONDITIONS THEN THE BOTTOM FALLS OUT: We'll see readings pushing into the upper 70's with a couple of 80 or better readings likely to start the week. After the next frontal system pushes through, we get a shot of cooler northwest flow from north of the border, sending readings down into the 60's. Those readings work in here Tuesday evening, giving us a chilly start to Wednesday, with readings down into the mid 40's!
I'll have complete graphics and forecast later this evening, when the laptop charges!
Saturday, May 10, 2014
Sunny & Springy!!!
Good Morning!
A beautiful Spring weekend is on tap with seasonably mild conditions and plenty of sunshine, early next week we get some changes to the pattern:
Have a wonderful Saturday!!! Blessings
A beautiful Spring weekend is on tap with seasonably mild conditions and plenty of sunshine, early next week we get some changes to the pattern:
Have a wonderful Saturday!!! Blessings
Friday, May 9, 2014
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN LENAWEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
WASHTENAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 115 PM EDT
* AT 1220 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TECUMSEH...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
BRIDGEWATER AROUND 1230 PM EDT.
SALINE AROUND 1235 PM EDT.
PITTSFIELD TOWNSHIP AROUND 1240 PM EDT.
ANN ARBOR AND BARTON HILLS AROUND 1245 PM EDT.
DIXBORO AROUND 1250 PM EDT.
SALEM AROUND 100 PM EDT.
THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...
WILLIS... DIXBORO... YPSILANTI...
TECUMSEH... SALINE... SALEM...
MILAN... MANCHESTER... DEXTER...
CLINTON... BRITTON... ANN ARBOR...
...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
Spring Has Taken Hold - Cooler Weather Next Week...
Good Morning!
With not a lot of time to research and post for you due to working the straight job, here's a summary of the big themes the next couple of days and a look at the forecast. I'll have the extended play forecast for you this evening. (Besides at that point I'll have fresher forecast modeling and data to review for you!)
That's how it looks to shake out for you, I hope you have a wonderful day! Blessings.
With not a lot of time to research and post for you due to working the straight job, here's a summary of the big themes the next couple of days and a look at the forecast. I'll have the extended play forecast for you this evening. (Besides at that point I'll have fresher forecast modeling and data to review for you!)
That's how it looks to shake out for you, I hope you have a wonderful day! Blessings.
Wednesday, May 7, 2014
Seasonable & Mild? We Can Do That!!!
Good Morning!
If you're like me, you were awakened pre-dawn by some loud rumbles of thunder and a bit of a light show in S. Central Michigan today. Some nocturnal convection (a $5 term for nighttime thunderstorms) developed across the lake in Wisconsin and tracked east, moving across the area. As a result, some low-lying areas have flooded a bit, triggering some Flood Advisories for Eaton, Ingham and Clinton counties. We're not done with the stormy weather either. Let's have a closer look...
SEASONABLE AT LAST: Finally we manage to get and hold on to some seasonable temperature readings in the area! Instead of the daytime highs going up and down like a yo-yo, we manage to get to 70 or better and stay there for awhile! 70 is the average in this part of the world, and based on forecast data, I don't see us below that mark until next Tuesday. Tomorrow will be warm and summery, with readings touching 80 in many spots. That's a winner! Here's a look at current readings around the US...
See the ridging building in between the Plains and the Appalachians, it's going to make a guest appearance here in Michigan for awhile! Enjoy the sneak peek at summer, but be mindful that we'll also see some...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THE NEXT FEW DAYS: Warm moist Gulf air is being funneled into this part of the US by hitching a ride with the low-level jet stream (a river of fast moving air, generally under about 10000 feet - it's a key player in storm development during the warm season), creating quality air and clouds for some storms to develop as you add a frontal boundary to destabilize everything. While we don't have a severe weather risk beyond the garden variety thunderstorms, we do have a chance at a few stray showers or a storm.
LOOKING AHEAD: Monday and Tuesday next week should feature scattered showers and thunder as a surface low tracks right at S. Central Michigan. This low will keep things cloudy and showery to start the week, and it will force us to give back the 70+ readings we will have enjoyed for a few days. Highs early next week will top out around 64.
Here's the forecast for Jackson and the surrounding area including Spring Arbor and Grass Lake:
I'm out of time and have to work the straight job now, but I hope to have the six day planner ready for you this evening. Have a wonderful day! Blessings.
Storms In Progress
A line of thunderstorms stretches from Grand Rapids to Monroe. They are moving east at 30 MPH. While they are noisy and may have some pea sized hail and strong winds, they are expected to remain under severe limits.
Strong Storms On The Way
A line of strong storms with pea sized hail and some intense lightning is on the way into South Central Michigan as I write. Get inside and let these storms pass! The are moving ESE at 35 MPH.
Monday, May 5, 2014
Warming Enroute...
Good Evening!
After some time away, I am back in the saddle (for awhile anyway). We're going to see a nice warm-up in the coming days. The early March conditions that have lingered all spring get out of here and we finally get to temperatures that are seasonable and beyond. Let's have a look...
BIG TIME RIDGING BUILDING IN: The warmest air of the season so far is on the way, culminating with the forecast computer models suggesting a high of 82 for Thursday! Summer-like readings there, and definitely more like what we should be seeing this time of year.
NOT A LOT OF RAIN: We'll not only have the warm summer-like readings working into the area, but there's not a ton of rain coming with that either, which you'd expect if we're setting up a ridge across the middle third of the United States. Here's a look at the Weather Prediction Center 5 Day Forecast map:
As you can see, three-quarters of an inch of rain on the high side in this part of the world. You'll want to use the sprinkler between now and Thursday. Speaking of Thursday, that's the day we have our best chance at...
SOME SCATTERED LATE WEEK THUNDERSTORMS: Model data is suggesting that for the latter part of the week we could see some scattered showers and storms, with Thursday being the better chance between then and Friday. Too early to tell if this will be a shot at some severe weather also, but with the models showing a fairly strong surface low back to the west, in Wisconsin, you could definitely see some weather issues. I'll keep an eye on that and let you know what should transpire as we get closer to Thursday and Friday.
Here's the forecast:
Have a great night!
After some time away, I am back in the saddle (for awhile anyway). We're going to see a nice warm-up in the coming days. The early March conditions that have lingered all spring get out of here and we finally get to temperatures that are seasonable and beyond. Let's have a look...
BIG TIME RIDGING BUILDING IN: The warmest air of the season so far is on the way, culminating with the forecast computer models suggesting a high of 82 for Thursday! Summer-like readings there, and definitely more like what we should be seeing this time of year.
NOT A LOT OF RAIN: We'll not only have the warm summer-like readings working into the area, but there's not a ton of rain coming with that either, which you'd expect if we're setting up a ridge across the middle third of the United States. Here's a look at the Weather Prediction Center 5 Day Forecast map:
SOME SCATTERED LATE WEEK THUNDERSTORMS: Model data is suggesting that for the latter part of the week we could see some scattered showers and storms, with Thursday being the better chance between then and Friday. Too early to tell if this will be a shot at some severe weather also, but with the models showing a fairly strong surface low back to the west, in Wisconsin, you could definitely see some weather issues. I'll keep an eye on that and let you know what should transpire as we get closer to Thursday and Friday.
Here's the forecast:
Have a great night!
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