Sunday, April 17, 2016

Another Winner, Then Cooler...

Good Evening!

Another beautiful day in the area, with the warmest temperatures of the Spring being posted so far.  Looking around the area right now, we see mid to upper 70's across the board with clear skies.  Let's talk about what's on tap.

MORE FULL-ON SPRING WEATHER:  We'll keep the pattern that we have been in going for a few more days.  The upper air pattern is set up in what's called an Omega Block right now.  Let's look at it:


The ridge is stuck in a traffic jam thanks to the upper low well offshore in the Atlantic.  Until that thing starts moving, the pattern can't progress.  The mild southerly flow under the ridge will persist for a bit longer yet, and the low that dropped more serious snows out west will stay over that part of the world, keeping them cold and cloudy.  Result for Michigan?  More great weather!

ANOTHER WARM ONE TOMORROW:  With the ridge still in place, I fully expect a repeat of today, with sunshine and readings back up into the upper 70's lower 80's.  Just the slightest hint of an upper wave tries to do a ridge runner bit and scoot around the periphery of the ridge, but with no dynamic support to start anything, maybe just a couple of PM clouds in the area and that's about it.  Lows only roll back to the mid 50's tomorrow night.

COOL IT OFF JUST A BIT:  We'll see just the beginnings of some movement in the big pattern I showed you above.  The ridge manages to elbow east a bit, turning our winds more westerly and dropping the temperatures back to something more seasonable.  You can expect readings to hold in the 60's Tuesday, with some passing clouds, and maybe a lonely shower somewhere.  I don't see any big headaches right now though.  Keep the 60's in the area through Wednesday, but then we see a change as the upper pattern finally resets...

WET THURSDAY?:  The system that unloaded snow in the Rockies finally gets to move into the Midwest on Thursday, as the upper ridging breaks down some and the flow creeps along in zonal fashion.  The more direct west to east winds bring that system in with some scattered to even numerous showers on Wednesday, temperatures do hold in the 60's until the frontal boundary passes through.

LOOKING AHEAD:  Get the system through and out on Friday, with cooler readings topping out at 59.  Then we see the flow turn more southerly again, pushing our temperatures back up into the 68-71 range for Sunday, with a high of 61 for Saturday.  I really think you'll be in good shape to plan outdoor activity this weekend, just have the jacket or hoodie in the car for early in the day.

I hope that you have a great night and a great Monday tomorrow!