Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Cool It Down...

Good Morning!

Changes definitely on the way weather wise for Michigan, let's dive in and have a look at it all.

SOME SEVERE POSSIBLE:  The Storm Prediction Center has identified Michigan in a standard "slight" risk area for severe storms this afternoon.  These storms will be forming ahead of the trough that is out by the Iowa/Illinois border this morning.  While we don't expect a robust or widespread threat, just understand that there could be a few strong to severe storms with strong straight-line winds and heavy rains.

TEMPERATURES CHANGING:  As things progress today and into tonight/tomorrow, I fully expect that on the back side of these storms, the cooler, drier air that has dropped temperatures and humidity elsewhere will do the same here.  That Canadian air will feel refreshing, shades of Autumn in the air for sure!  Readings don't get out of the 70's tomorrow or Friday!  Today I'm expecting 83 for the high in Jackson, 85 in Ann Arbor, and 84 in Lansing.

Here's the forecast for Jackson and vicinity...

Today - Periods of clouds and sunshine with increasing cloudiness as the day progresses, developing showers and thunderstorms, some could be severe. High 83.

Tonight - Rain tapers off as the night progresses, cooler, low 63.

I'll have a detailed forecast for you this evening!


Monday, August 17, 2015

Storms Afoot....

Good Evening,

Hit and miss storms, and other kinds of mischief in Michigan this evening, we'll keep that around and bump up the chances of some severe weather working into the area for Wednesday.  Let's take a closer look:

SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE AREA:  We note scattered showers and some storms in the area, especially Branch County, impacting Coldwater.  We'll see additional showers and a few more storms rolling through during the overnight hours, but I expect at least a break sometime after midnight. Here's the current NEXRAD from Grand Rapids:



Expect more storms to enter SOuth Central Michigan from the southeast, at least until we get the air cooler and more stable.

A SEVERE RISK DAY 3:  The Storm Prediction Center has identified lower Michigan in the standard slight risk for severe storms on Wednesday.  We expect a vigorous system coming out of the Plains tomorrow and trekking into the Midwest and Great Lakes.  Initial data suggests that the primary threats will be straight line winds and perhaps a bit of hail.  We'll refine that over the next 24-30 hours.

FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE SETUP:  The next few days will see fairly changeable weather as far as from sun to stormy, as a strong trough drops into the central third of the US.  What that means for us?  Out ahead of a bona-fide low, some fairly vigorous showers and storms will develop.  Both tomorrow and Wednesday will see the chance of showers and a storm or two, the better bet for the storms will be Wednesday.

I will have more on this after some fresh data shows up.