Hit and miss storms, and other kinds of mischief in Michigan this evening, we'll keep that around and bump up the chances of some severe weather working into the area for Wednesday. Let's take a closer look:
SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE AREA: We note scattered showers and some storms in the area, especially Branch County, impacting Coldwater. We'll see additional showers and a few more storms rolling through during the overnight hours, but I expect at least a break sometime after midnight. Here's the current NEXRAD from Grand Rapids:
Expect more storms to enter SOuth Central Michigan from the southeast, at least until we get the air cooler and more stable.
A SEVERE RISK DAY 3: The Storm Prediction Center has identified lower Michigan in the standard slight risk for severe storms on Wednesday. We expect a vigorous system coming out of the Plains tomorrow and trekking into the Midwest and Great Lakes. Initial data suggests that the primary threats will be straight line winds and perhaps a bit of hail. We'll refine that over the next 24-30 hours.
FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE SETUP: The next few days will see fairly changeable weather as far as from sun to stormy, as a strong trough drops into the central third of the US. What that means for us? Out ahead of a bona-fide low, some fairly vigorous showers and storms will develop. Both tomorrow and Wednesday will see the chance of showers and a storm or two, the better bet for the storms will be Wednesday.
I will have more on this after some fresh data shows up.
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