If you haven't already heard, Livingston and Shiawassee counties have been added to the Winter Weather Advisory.
Friday, March 15, 2013
Winter Weather Advisory Posted
Good Afternoon!
The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued Winter Weather Advisory from 8 PM tonight until 11 AM tomorrow for the following counties:
Jackson, Calhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Clinton.
This is for slippery travel and potentially quickly changing travel conditions. Any precipitation that isn't all snow now will be all snow late tonight with 1-3" accumulation.
Additionally, Clinton County is under a Flood Advisory for the Maple River at Maple Rapids until late Monday night.
Use caution if you're traveling tonight!
Thursday, March 14, 2013
Jackson Forecast...Sun Then More Snow :-(
Good Morning!
Bright blue skies start the day here in Jackson under high pressure. A bit of an upper disturbance slides by us to the south later today, that should only bring some clouds later on if it even does that. We'll get our turn for snow soon enough though, don't worry about that. Let's look at the forecast for Jackson:
I hope you have a wonderful Thursday! Full forecast discussion later on today.
Bright blue skies start the day here in Jackson under high pressure. A bit of an upper disturbance slides by us to the south later today, that should only bring some clouds later on if it even does that. We'll get our turn for snow soon enough though, don't worry about that. Let's look at the forecast for Jackson:
I hope you have a wonderful Thursday! Full forecast discussion later on today.
Wednesday, March 13, 2013
Forecast For Jackson
As advertised, here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Concord and Hanover-Horton:
Tonight, mainly clear, some passing clouds, cold, lows roll back to 19, wind NW 9-15 MPH slowing to 5-10 MPH by daybreak.
Thursday, periods of clouds and sunshine, not as cold, high 38, wind W 5-10 MPH.
Thursday night, increasing clouds, not as cold as Wednesday night, lows only down to 23, wind W 5-10 MPH.
Friday, mainly cloudy skies, chance of of some snow or snow showers during the afternoon, high 41. Wind W 6-12 MPH.
Saturday, cloudy skies, snow likely, 1-3" possible by early morning Sunday, high only 34.
Sunday, cloudy skies continue, still cold, high only 35.
Monday, cloudy skies, a variety of mixed precipitation possible, high 41.
Tuesday, cloudy skies start to clear in the afternoon, back to winter-like temperatures, high only 36.
There's a look at your six day forecast, i do hope you have a great day! Blessings.
Tonight, mainly clear, some passing clouds, cold, lows roll back to 19, wind NW 9-15 MPH slowing to 5-10 MPH by daybreak.
Thursday, periods of clouds and sunshine, not as cold, high 38, wind W 5-10 MPH.
Thursday night, increasing clouds, not as cold as Wednesday night, lows only down to 23, wind W 5-10 MPH.
Friday, mainly cloudy skies, chance of of some snow or snow showers during the afternoon, high 41. Wind W 6-12 MPH.
Saturday, cloudy skies, snow likely, 1-3" possible by early morning Sunday, high only 34.
Sunday, cloudy skies continue, still cold, high only 35.
Monday, cloudy skies, a variety of mixed precipitation possible, high 41.
Tuesday, cloudy skies start to clear in the afternoon, back to winter-like temperatures, high only 36.
There's a look at your six day forecast, i do hope you have a great day! Blessings.
Thoughts On Post Hump-Day....
Hello!
You have to love (or hate) that lake effect snow. Some heavy snow bands moved through the area overnight, leaving us with an inch or better in most places on the blog. That has been replaced with partly sunny skies, but we aren't quite done with the snow just yet; more flurries or light snow moving through.
DARNED FLAKES: Cold Canadian air in place with northwesterly flow off the warmer waters of Lake Michigan means...you guessed it. SNOW. We'll have some around today in fits and starts, though overall it will diminish with time. I expect just a few flurries hanging on by evening drive and into the nighttime hours. We should finally get out the snow for a bit tonight and into tomorrow. Not so fast though - three upper waves move through between now and Tuesday PM, and each one gives us crack at some additional snow.
IT DOESN'T FEEL SPRING-ISH: I agree, and unfortunately, that's the pattern that we stay in for the next few days. A trough has done some heavy-duty digging from the northwest and is good and entrenched here, I don't see anything that will move it out of here until next week. Forecast models do suggest the upper-level trough flattens out some this weekend and into next week, with more zonal flow, winds turning more due west. This will help A TAD with temperature, it also will dial back the lake-effect snow machine. From the perch here, Monday looks like the first day after Thursday with any real opportunity to get a decent foothold on some 40 degree readings, and I expect them to stick around for just awhile, then back into the winter-like readings until next Friday.
SNOW & SUCH: I said three upper waves move through between now and next week. Number one comes through tomorrow afternoon. Over the last couple of forecast model runs, that thing has gotten increasingly ragged and wimpy. My take on it is cloudy skies, maybe a flurry or two, west and closer to the lake, the snow machine may fire up again with just some light snow. I really don't think that one gives us a problem. Upper wave two looks much more organized, and I fully expect it to touch off some snow for us on Friday, heavier amounts north and west. Right now, anytime after lunch looks ripe for some snowfall, and some portion of the evening drive is very likely to be impacted. I'm thinking 1-3" in this part of the world, and points north around the I-96 corridor could see 3" or more of new snow. Wave three, Monday afternoon. That one is a bit more problematic to forecast as we'll be right around freezing, so this early in the game, all modes of precipitation are possible. I'll have a better idea as time goes on.
More To Come...
More To Come...
Winter Is Back...
Hello!
Man, what a busy day. So much to do! Cold and snowy as well here in the area, fortunately that is not sticking to the ground. That will change during the overnight hours. Let's dive right into it.
SUMMARY: As we are on the back side of the surface low that is now is in Canada, we have west-northwest winds and sharply colder air. We will keep that around through Wednesday but temperatures do start to moderate on Thursday, with highs creeping up to 40 or a little milder, then falling right back to near freezing on the weekend. A bit of a disturbance moving through on Friday into Saturday, maybe a chance at some snow on Sunday, but a low moving in on Monday evening should bring some snow along with it.
PRECIPITATION: Snow falling in the area that hasn't adhered to anything but cars and grassy areas will start to stick overnight as we see temps fall below freezing. Untreated surfaces will become slick, so be careful traveling. I would expect a coating to a bit over an inch of new snow between now and daybreak. That snow slowly tapers off as the day progresses, with just a few stray flurries by nightfall. After that, Saturday and Monday night into Tuesday are the next chances at precipitation.
Forecast...
Tonight, cloudy, periods of snow, possibly heavy in bursts, low down to 20 with wind WNW 6-12 MPH.
Wednesday, skies start to clear in the afternoon, some lingering flurries, high 35. Wind NW 10-15 MPH.
Wednesday night, partly starry skies, very cold, lows near 16, wind NW 6-12 MPH.
Thursday, becoming cloudy late, perhaps the chance of an afternoon or evening snowflake late, not as cold, high 38.
Friday, mainly cloudy skies,perhaps a peek or two of sunshine, milder high 44.
There's a look at your forecast through the end of the workweek, I do hope that you have a great night! We'll update the forecast tomorrow with a look at the weekend and into early next week. Blessings.
Man, what a busy day. So much to do! Cold and snowy as well here in the area, fortunately that is not sticking to the ground. That will change during the overnight hours. Let's dive right into it.
SUMMARY: As we are on the back side of the surface low that is now is in Canada, we have west-northwest winds and sharply colder air. We will keep that around through Wednesday but temperatures do start to moderate on Thursday, with highs creeping up to 40 or a little milder, then falling right back to near freezing on the weekend. A bit of a disturbance moving through on Friday into Saturday, maybe a chance at some snow on Sunday, but a low moving in on Monday evening should bring some snow along with it.
PRECIPITATION: Snow falling in the area that hasn't adhered to anything but cars and grassy areas will start to stick overnight as we see temps fall below freezing. Untreated surfaces will become slick, so be careful traveling. I would expect a coating to a bit over an inch of new snow between now and daybreak. That snow slowly tapers off as the day progresses, with just a few stray flurries by nightfall. After that, Saturday and Monday night into Tuesday are the next chances at precipitation.
Forecast...
Tonight, cloudy, periods of snow, possibly heavy in bursts, low down to 20 with wind WNW 6-12 MPH.
Wednesday, skies start to clear in the afternoon, some lingering flurries, high 35. Wind NW 10-15 MPH.
Wednesday night, partly starry skies, very cold, lows near 16, wind NW 6-12 MPH.
Thursday, becoming cloudy late, perhaps the chance of an afternoon or evening snowflake late, not as cold, high 38.
Friday, mainly cloudy skies,perhaps a peek or two of sunshine, milder high 44.
There's a look at your forecast through the end of the workweek, I do hope that you have a great night! We'll update the forecast tomorrow with a look at the weekend and into early next week. Blessings.
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
Thoughts For Down The Road...
Good Evening!
I have had the chance to look at some forecast data for the next few days, and what I am seeing is a chance of some some flurries or perhaps some sleet or freezing precipitation. Temperatures should just manage to climb to 40 tomorrow, which would suggest perhaps a chance at rain, but for my money, I still like the snow or freezing precipitation bit. Wednesday, daytime highs don't stray too far above freezing, but fortunately we don't expect much beyond a mention of a chance of some snow flurries for the day.
Looking ahead I don't expect us to really get out of the precipitation until Thursday, and then that's a brief break, as we get a bit of a disturbance moving through Friday and perhaps the chance at something more significant into the weekend, with maybe some wrap-around snow on the back side of the low that looks to move right through the heart of Michigan.
I will have more for you tomorrow.
Have a great evening.
I have had the chance to look at some forecast data for the next few days, and what I am seeing is a chance of some some flurries or perhaps some sleet or freezing precipitation. Temperatures should just manage to climb to 40 tomorrow, which would suggest perhaps a chance at rain, but for my money, I still like the snow or freezing precipitation bit. Wednesday, daytime highs don't stray too far above freezing, but fortunately we don't expect much beyond a mention of a chance of some snow flurries for the day.
Looking ahead I don't expect us to really get out of the precipitation until Thursday, and then that's a brief break, as we get a bit of a disturbance moving through Friday and perhaps the chance at something more significant into the weekend, with maybe some wrap-around snow on the back side of the low that looks to move right through the heart of Michigan.
I will have more for you tomorrow.
Have a great evening.
Monday, March 11, 2013
Feels Like Monday - Looks Like It Too...
Good Morning!
Before we get rolling today, I need to apologize for a forecast error. I told you that I didn't see any snow in the forecast for the next few days, and that is flat out WRONG. Last night when I posted this I was zoned out and didn't realize I had not refreshed my window with the NAM forecast model and the one that had the MOS (Model Output Statistics) in it. Therefore, I was giving you a forecast on old data. I apologize. Let's move on and fix my goof with fresh data from this morning.
SUMMARY: Gray and dreary around the area with some drizzle and light shower activity in a line from Midland all the way southwest back to Kalamazoo. Have a look at the Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar image:
This kind of activity stays with us throughout the day as the surface low works it's way up into the north-central part of Michigan, dragging his cold front along with him. That keeps us damp for awhile, then the winds shift westerly and the temperature drops sharply. I hate to say it, but we won't see those upper 50's readings again for at least a week, if not longer. A trough shovels it's way in with some Canadian air, sending the mercury back into the near-freezing and sub freezing ranges. In fact, we nearly chop the overnight low in half from the last two nights; 20's as opposed to 40's. Seasonably cold weather after we get through Wednesday, with some sunshine to brighten things up in time for the weekend. Average high is 44 and low 25 for this time of year here, and we run a bit cooler than that into Thursday.
PRECIPITATION: We'll keep anything from drizzle to light showers in the area today, then as the temperatures drop, a few snowflakes can't be eliminated from consideration. The good news is that the chances of said snowflakes falling become pretty low starting tomorrow. We'll leave just a mention of some flurries in the picture for Tuesday into Wednesday.
Here's a look at the 5 Day Precipitation Forecast from the National Weather Service:
As you can see, no major headaches for us regarding precip through 8 AM Saturday, just a half inch of liquid on the high side, and no late winter/early spring snow mischief in the works at this time. You can't say the same for Ohio and points southeast, plenty of rain plus snow melt may cause some flooding problems.
Here's a look at the infrared satellite, showing all of us the clouds in the area that won't be moving out anytime soon:
And here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Tompkins:
Today, cloudy, damp, some drizzle or light rain; high 51 early, falling into the 40's by evening. Wind SSW 10-15 MPH.
Tonight, cloudy, some lingering drizzle may change to flurries, sharply colder as compared to Sunday night, lows near 28, wind WSW 6-12 MPH.
Tuesday, continued cloudy, colder, a few flurries possible in some spots, high 34, wind W 6-12 MPH.
Tuesday night, continued cloudy and chilly, some stray snowflakes still linger, cold, low 19, NW winds 5-10 MPH.
Wednesday, mainly cloudy, a few afternoon peeks of sun possible, high 34.
Thursday, partly sunny, a bit milder, high 37.
Friday, a mix of clouds and sun, warmer still, high 40.
Saturday, increasing clouds, a stray shower can't be ruled out, high 44.
Sunday, becoming sunny and seasonably pleasant, high 45.
There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great Monday! Blessings.
Before we get rolling today, I need to apologize for a forecast error. I told you that I didn't see any snow in the forecast for the next few days, and that is flat out WRONG. Last night when I posted this I was zoned out and didn't realize I had not refreshed my window with the NAM forecast model and the one that had the MOS (Model Output Statistics) in it. Therefore, I was giving you a forecast on old data. I apologize. Let's move on and fix my goof with fresh data from this morning.
SUMMARY: Gray and dreary around the area with some drizzle and light shower activity in a line from Midland all the way southwest back to Kalamazoo. Have a look at the Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar image:
 |
| Grand Rapids NEXRAD Radar Reflectivity |
PRECIPITATION: We'll keep anything from drizzle to light showers in the area today, then as the temperatures drop, a few snowflakes can't be eliminated from consideration. The good news is that the chances of said snowflakes falling become pretty low starting tomorrow. We'll leave just a mention of some flurries in the picture for Tuesday into Wednesday.
Here's a look at the 5 Day Precipitation Forecast from the National Weather Service:
 |
| National Weather Service 5-Day Precipitation Forecast |
Here's a look at the infrared satellite, showing all of us the clouds in the area that won't be moving out anytime soon:
 |
| Infrared Satellite Image |
Today, cloudy, damp, some drizzle or light rain; high 51 early, falling into the 40's by evening. Wind SSW 10-15 MPH.
Tonight, cloudy, some lingering drizzle may change to flurries, sharply colder as compared to Sunday night, lows near 28, wind WSW 6-12 MPH.
Tuesday, continued cloudy, colder, a few flurries possible in some spots, high 34, wind W 6-12 MPH.
Tuesday night, continued cloudy and chilly, some stray snowflakes still linger, cold, low 19, NW winds 5-10 MPH.
Wednesday, mainly cloudy, a few afternoon peeks of sun possible, high 34.
Thursday, partly sunny, a bit milder, high 37.
Friday, a mix of clouds and sun, warmer still, high 40.
Saturday, increasing clouds, a stray shower can't be ruled out, high 44.
Sunday, becoming sunny and seasonably pleasant, high 45.
There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great Monday! Blessings.
Sunday, March 10, 2013
Cooling Down & Damp
Good Evening!
It turned out to be wonderful early Spring today across South Central Michigan with the warm spots in the area in the south zone of the blog. Adrian made it to 60 today, with 59's in Jackson and Battle Creek. While it wasn't bright blue skies all around, it was far from the rain that we expected. The extra hour of daylight alos made it's presence felt too. Let's take a closer look at what coming for the next few days:
SUMMARY: It was nice while it lasted. The unseasonably mild air slowly filters out of here over the next 24 hours as cooler air works in with the surface low tracking at us from the south-southwest, dragging some showers and a cold front along with it. The good news is that while it does turn colder, I don't see it getting cold enough for us to have to worry about snow, at least not for awhile. Temperatures should top out in the 50-53 range for Monday, then we start trending back down to more seasonable conditions thereafter. Average high this time of year is 44, so we were almost 20 degrees warmer than that today! Today had some shades of last March, when we were averaging 15-20 degrees above normal every day for pretty much the whole month.
Looking down the line, readings fall back into the upper 30's mid week, but then rebound nicely in time for the weekend, with mid to upper 40's in the forecast.
PRECIPITATION: Rain moves into the area over night as the surface low arrives with it's attendant cold front. Nothing severe expected as we are cool and stable, this will be just some showers and general rain for the area. Let's have a look at the National Weather Service 5 Day Precipitation Forecast and get a feel for what's in store:
As you can see with the change in the track of the low and such, we are looking drier than we did in prior forecasts. Now we shouldn't see much more than a half inch in this part of the world. Heavier rain will fall to the southeast, so they still have to keep an eye out for some flooding issues, as we get rain and snow melt emptying into rivers at the same time.
After the cold front moves through and away, we stay fairly quiet, a couple of upper waves move through that may touch off some hit and miss shower activity Tuesday evening and then again Friday into Saturday. High pressure and northwesterly flow between those two chances at precipitation. Not really much else going on after that until the latter part of next week.
Tonight: Periods of scattered showers, low 41, wind SW 5-10 MPH.
Tomorrow: Cloudy skies, some showers persist into the afternoon, high 51 early, then dropping back into the mid to upper 40's by evening. Wind turning WNW 10-15 MPH.
Monday Night: Mainly cloudy skies, sharply colder, lows all the way back to 31, wind NW 5-10 MPH.
Tuesday: Cloudy, seasonably chilly, high 37.
There's your forecast to start the week, I hope that you have a good night!
It turned out to be wonderful early Spring today across South Central Michigan with the warm spots in the area in the south zone of the blog. Adrian made it to 60 today, with 59's in Jackson and Battle Creek. While it wasn't bright blue skies all around, it was far from the rain that we expected. The extra hour of daylight alos made it's presence felt too. Let's take a closer look at what coming for the next few days:
SUMMARY: It was nice while it lasted. The unseasonably mild air slowly filters out of here over the next 24 hours as cooler air works in with the surface low tracking at us from the south-southwest, dragging some showers and a cold front along with it. The good news is that while it does turn colder, I don't see it getting cold enough for us to have to worry about snow, at least not for awhile. Temperatures should top out in the 50-53 range for Monday, then we start trending back down to more seasonable conditions thereafter. Average high this time of year is 44, so we were almost 20 degrees warmer than that today! Today had some shades of last March, when we were averaging 15-20 degrees above normal every day for pretty much the whole month.
Looking down the line, readings fall back into the upper 30's mid week, but then rebound nicely in time for the weekend, with mid to upper 40's in the forecast.
PRECIPITATION: Rain moves into the area over night as the surface low arrives with it's attendant cold front. Nothing severe expected as we are cool and stable, this will be just some showers and general rain for the area. Let's have a look at the National Weather Service 5 Day Precipitation Forecast and get a feel for what's in store:
As you can see with the change in the track of the low and such, we are looking drier than we did in prior forecasts. Now we shouldn't see much more than a half inch in this part of the world. Heavier rain will fall to the southeast, so they still have to keep an eye out for some flooding issues, as we get rain and snow melt emptying into rivers at the same time.
After the cold front moves through and away, we stay fairly quiet, a couple of upper waves move through that may touch off some hit and miss shower activity Tuesday evening and then again Friday into Saturday. High pressure and northwesterly flow between those two chances at precipitation. Not really much else going on after that until the latter part of next week.
Tonight: Periods of scattered showers, low 41, wind SW 5-10 MPH.
Tomorrow: Cloudy skies, some showers persist into the afternoon, high 51 early, then dropping back into the mid to upper 40's by evening. Wind turning WNW 10-15 MPH.
Monday Night: Mainly cloudy skies, sharply colder, lows all the way back to 31, wind NW 5-10 MPH.
Tuesday: Cloudy, seasonably chilly, high 37.
There's your forecast to start the week, I hope that you have a good night!
Spring-Like Afternoon In Progress...
Hello!
Looks like shades of Spring in the air. Temperature readings pushing well into the 50's across the area with some station pushing 60 at this hour, with some sunshine to boot! Have a look at the temperatures and current NEXRAD radar image:
Clouds will thicken and the rain should start falling later, as it looks like the surface low will track more north-northeast and. not so much east. That means we'll stay in the warm sector of the system, rain will stay around longer. We'll see that for most of the day tomorrow.
More to come...
Looks like shades of Spring in the air. Temperature readings pushing well into the 50's across the area with some station pushing 60 at this hour, with some sunshine to boot! Have a look at the temperatures and current NEXRAD radar image:
Clouds will thicken and the rain should start falling later, as it looks like the surface low will track more north-northeast and. not so much east. That means we'll stay in the warm sector of the system, rain will stay around longer. We'll see that for most of the day tomorrow.
More to come...
Quick Look For Sunday
Good Morning!
Cloudy skies and scattered showers in the area right now, have a look at the Grand Rapids NEXRAD...
We'll keep that around most of the day today and into tomorrow as well. Forecast for today below:
Have a GREAT Sunday
Cloudy skies and scattered showers in the area right now, have a look at the Grand Rapids NEXRAD...
We'll keep that around most of the day today and into tomorrow as well. Forecast for today below:
Have a GREAT Sunday
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