It turned out to be wonderful early Spring today across South Central Michigan with the warm spots in the area in the south zone of the blog. Adrian made it to 60 today, with 59's in Jackson and Battle Creek. While it wasn't bright blue skies all around, it was far from the rain that we expected. The extra hour of daylight alos made it's presence felt too. Let's take a closer look at what coming for the next few days:
SUMMARY: It was nice while it lasted. The unseasonably mild air slowly filters out of here over the next 24 hours as cooler air works in with the surface low tracking at us from the south-southwest, dragging some showers and a cold front along with it. The good news is that while it does turn colder, I don't see it getting cold enough for us to have to worry about snow, at least not for awhile. Temperatures should top out in the 50-53 range for Monday, then we start trending back down to more seasonable conditions thereafter. Average high this time of year is 44, so we were almost 20 degrees warmer than that today! Today had some shades of last March, when we were averaging 15-20 degrees above normal every day for pretty much the whole month.
Looking down the line, readings fall back into the upper 30's mid week, but then rebound nicely in time for the weekend, with mid to upper 40's in the forecast.
PRECIPITATION: Rain moves into the area over night as the surface low arrives with it's attendant cold front. Nothing severe expected as we are cool and stable, this will be just some showers and general rain for the area. Let's have a look at the National Weather Service 5 Day Precipitation Forecast and get a feel for what's in store:
As you can see with the change in the track of the low and such, we are looking drier than we did in prior forecasts. Now we shouldn't see much more than a half inch in this part of the world. Heavier rain will fall to the southeast, so they still have to keep an eye out for some flooding issues, as we get rain and snow melt emptying into rivers at the same time.
After the cold front moves through and away, we stay fairly quiet, a couple of upper waves move through that may touch off some hit and miss shower activity Tuesday evening and then again Friday into Saturday. High pressure and northwesterly flow between those two chances at precipitation. Not really much else going on after that until the latter part of next week.
Tonight: Periods of scattered showers, low 41, wind SW 5-10 MPH.
Tomorrow: Cloudy skies, some showers persist into the afternoon, high 51 early, then dropping back into the mid to upper 40's by evening. Wind turning WNW 10-15 MPH.
Monday Night: Mainly cloudy skies, sharply colder, lows all the way back to 31, wind NW 5-10 MPH.
Tuesday: Cloudy, seasonably chilly, high 37.
There's your forecast to start the week, I hope that you have a good night!
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