Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Stormy Tuesday...

Good Morning!

Stormy skies in South Central Michigan today as showers and thunderstorms move through the area.  It will cool things down a touch for us and lower the humidity at least a bit, so we'll take it.  Things were starting to get kind of dry around here anyway.  Let's have a look at what's going on:

RAIN:  An upper disturbance is working through the broader setup, and that's your trigger for the activity we have in the area.  Have a look at TruTrack Doppler Radar and you'll see all of the rain and the heavier storms working though the south zone counties:


Once these get out of here we may see more activity this afternoon and evening, but for now  I do expect some dry hours after about 9:30 AM or so.  It will be hard to forecast exactly what will happen, as we need to see what shape the atmosphere is left in after the rains this morning.

SEVERE WEATHER:  The Storm Prediction Center down have us in a standard "slight" risk for severe storms.  Their thinking is that the atmosphere will recover such that daytime heating will destabilize the air again and kick off some strong storms later this evening off to the west of us in Illinois.  The question becomes will that hold together as it travels east.  We'll see.  Here's a look at the map for you:

Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Outlook
Hail, wind and heavy rain look to be the main threats at this point.  We'll keep an eye out for watches and such that may be issued as the day progresses.

TEMPERATURES:   Expect a high of about 84 today, we'll run heat index values back close to 90 though, then as our next system and a cold front work through, we will see temperatures drop to the upper 70's.

Here's the forecast:


Have a great day!

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