Sunday, April 6, 2014

Milder Weather, A Damp Day Or Two...

Good Evening!

Let's fix one thing right out of the gate.  The forecast that I put out here earlier was actually spot on, with the exception of being about a half-day too quick.  The system performed as expected with the rain, freezing rain and such, but then it slowed up some on the way here.  So instead of clearing Friday night, we cleared out during the day today and actually ended up with a decent day.  I'm still calling it a bust though.  I'll get better.

Clear and chilly tonight, but what a gorgeous day tomorrow and even nicer week we have on tap...after we work through some showers and such early on.  Let's pop the hood and see what we have running under there:

GOOORRRGEOUS WEATHER FOR SUNDAY:  If you like abundant sunshine and warming temperatures, then jump all over tomorrow!  We see the thermometer push 60 in some locations under bright blue skies.  Ridging is nosing back into the area, bringing milder air with it - for now.  Average temperature in this part of the world falls right around 55 degrees this time of year; I'm predicting 58 for the high in Jackson.  Lansing and Battle Creek, you guys should be right around that figure as well.

A BIT OF UNSETTLED WEATHER TO START THE WEEK:  We see changes in the area around lunchtime Monday.  A surface low organizes over the ArkLaMiss and moves this way, tracking almost due north.  Clouds work in during the late morning and early afternoon, with some showers and perhaps an outside chance of a rumble of thunder in place by the time we get to evening drive.  While I don't expect this to be a major event by any stretch of the imagination, we'll get around an inch of rain in most parts of the area through late Tuesday morning.  After that, temperatures trend down briefly, with low 50's the rule.

REBOUNDING READINGS FROM MID-WEEK ON:  The hover around 50 bit for daytime highs is only a brief thing, as from Wednesday on, ridging and southerly flow gain control in the area, sending readings into the upper 50's with some spots touching 60 or better by the end of the week!  I am nowhere close to being ready to put a hat on this, but the GFS forecast model data is suggesting partly sunny and 63 for next Saturday!  Won't that feel nice?

SEVERE WEATHER:  Not in this part of the world.  All quiet here for tomorrow and Monday, with no thunder expected according to the Storm Prediction Center.  Tomorrow the risk is confined to Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.  The severe risk moves to the Florida Panhandle, Georgia, and the Carolinas for Monday.

Here's the forecast:





There's your forecast!  Enjoy your Sunday!

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