Mixed Sun & Showery

Good Morning!

This will be an abbreviated forecast and such as the day, in fact, the next couple, are packed!

BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS:  For the next couple of days we'll be dealing with better chances of showers and storms in the area, first from an upper wave working through the area, then secondly, around mid-week, a bona fide low tracks up and out of the US via central MN, WI, and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan.  That will drag a frontal boundary behind it which will increase our chances at showers and a few thunderstorms.

A LITTLE UPS & DOWNS ON THE THERMOMETER:  We'll see temperatures warm to near 90 tomorrow, with heat index values at or above that thanks to dew points still hovering near 70.  After we get through Wednesday, the frontal boundary moves away and the upper air flow resets back to that ridge/trough setup we have had for much of the the summer, bringing temperatures back down to around 80.
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SEVERE RISK:   I would be remiss if I did not mention that the Storm Prediction Center has added a small "slight" risk bubble for us, the main threat will be damaging wind.  The best window for those will be this afternoon as the earth gets heated in advance of that upper wave moving through the area.  This will be a concern for the south zone of the blog.  Once you get north of a line drawn through Olivet, Leslie and Stockbridge, that risk diminishes.  We'll watch it and see if SPC changes the shape of that risk area any.

Here's the forecast.

Today, more clouds than sun, breezy and humid, scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, a couple may go severe with strong winds.  High 83, wind SW 4-10 MPH.

Tonight, continued mainly cloudy, more scattered showers and thunderstorms until at least midnight, lows near 63.

Tuesday, mixed sunshine, chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms, humid, high 89. Wind SW 4-8 MPH.

There's a look at your forecast, have a great day!  More info via Twitter and Facebook, my handle is @wxMikeD, Facebook is South Central Michigan Weather.