Good Morning!
Some puffy cumulus in the area as we roll into the lunch hour. It's going to definitely be summery as we roll into the back end of the 4th of July holiday. These next couple of days will be ideal to find a swimming pool or a lake. Let's take a deeper dive and talk about some...
HIGHER HUMIDITY AND HIGHER TEMPERATURES: That last part of that is a bit of a misnomer, as the temperatures really aren't climbing all that much and I don't foresee them being way out of whack above normal. What I do see is hot and humid, as dewpoints climb throughout Michigan, especially in the southern part of the state. South Central Michigan already has dewpoint values edging toward 70, making for a humid, steamy feel to the air. We'll keep those readings around, coupled with temperatures that should climb into the middle 80's. With all of this moisture in the air, most people (unless you have outdoor activity planned) would love some showers and storms to wring out some of the humidity and make the air more comfortable to be in. So let's see if we'll have any...
SCATTERED SHOWERS OR STORMS ABOUT: I really wish I could be more help to you than I am about to be, especially regarding rain and maybe breaking up some of this humid air. The pattern we are in will keep us in the same mantra-like forecast I have been putting out here for the last several days: Any one area in the blog will have a three to four in ten shot at some scattered showers and perhaps a roaming thunderstorm or two anytime after about 2 PM and going on through around 11 tonight. I can't get any more specific than that. Honest. Forecast data can't resolve the county by county or even city by city variances that would favor rain shower or storm development in one place more so than another.
The only additional help I can put out here is this: ONE forecast model, the RAP (Rapid Refresh), is suggesting that the south zone of the blog, especially Hillsdale and Lenawee counties, has a better shot at getting wet today than the north zone does. There you go. At this point I will not do anything about severe weather, as the Storm Prediction Center doesn't have us in any risk category, other than just some plain vanilla summer storms. If we get some, at this point, all they'll do is form, rain on you, maybe make some noise and flash a few lights, and when they use up the moisture supply in the air near them and cool down the air, poof! They're done.
OK - forecast for the next few days in Jackson and surrounding areas including Concord and Tompkins:
Today, a mix of clouds and sun, a 40% chance of some scattered PM showers and maybe a lonely thunderstorm, humid, high 84. Wind SW 4-8 MPH.
Tonight, some lingering showers possible through midnight, then partly cloudy, low 64, wind SW 4-7 MPH.
Sunday, mixed sunshine, we'll increase the chance of scattered afternoon showers or a pop-up storm to 50/50, high 84. Wind SW 4-8 MPH.
Sunday night, periods of clouds and stars, you may see a lone shower or two still moving through in cloudy areas, lows near 63. Wind SW 3-6 MPH.
Monday, partly cloudy, more chances of afternoon showers, a touch warmer, high 85.
That will get you through the next few days, I'll have more detailed forecasts for you later today. Blessings & enjoy your Saturday!
No comments:
Post a Comment