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Good Morning!

Simply Maaahhvelous!  That sums up the weather for today and right on into the weekend.  Beautiful late Spring/early Summer conditions are on tap for the next few days.  We have a small chance at a shower or maybe a storm in the mix during this forecast, but the quality chances for rain don't show up until the weekend.  Let's take a look under the hood and see what we have running...

TEMPERATURES:  About right for this time of the year and pleasant.  We get comfortably warm, but without the high humidity in the air to make it sticky and uncomfortable.  Have a look at the surface temperature plot:

US Surface Temperatures as of 10 AM EDT

We keep things warm and dry for the most part, as a surface low moves away from us off in Canada, and it will be replaced by a high pressure feature building in over the next day or two, keeping skies fairly clear and allowing temperatures to work into the lower 80's for next week.  The GFS forecast model is suggesting a couple of 81's to start the new week, I wouldn't be a bit shocked to see us up in the 82-86 range though.  Clearing skies at night will allow readings to dip back into the 40's so perfect fan-free sleeping weather for you as well.  The flip side is that along with the warmth, we'll have increased chances at some...

RAIN:  Early next week, low pressure spinning out over South Dakota and Minnesota will bring a system through Michigan, increasing chances of showers and perhaps a couple of thunderstorms to start out.  The best chances look like from Monday on for the rain, and we should have it basically out of here Wednesday at the latest.  Right now, just the mention of some stray pop up showers or a lonely storm during the afternoon and evening hours today through Friday, with a rain chances creeping up Friday night and into the weekend.  We did get some scattered showers and storm or two that developed last night due primarily to afternoon surface heating, so I expect more hit or miss activity to recur this evening as well.  Have a look at the precipitation forecast from the Weather Prediction Center:

7 Day Precipitation Forecast, Valid thru 8 AM Wednesday May 22nd

The seven day outlook is still holding with the inch plus of rain between in Michigan between now and next Wednesday, I expect early next week as the primary window of opportunity.  Good news is that as of now, I don't see any chances at...

SEVERE WEATHER:  No severe weather risk impacting Michigan for the next three days.  We do note a general chance of storms is observed for extreme southeast Michigan today, and extreme southwest Michigan on Friday.  A slight risk of storms over north central Texas is in play today, as far north as Wichita Falls and as far south as Austin.  Looking further out, the Storm Prediction Center has identified the possibility of a severe weather event in the Plains for the weekend.  That we'll watch and see how it evolves over the next few days.

Here's the visible satellite image:

Here's the forecast:


Today, mainly sunny, some passing clouds, warmer, slight chance of an afternoon shower, high 79.  Wind WSW 8-16 MPH.

Tonight, mixed moonlight, cooler, lows drop to near 48.  Wind SW 4-7 MPH.

Thursday, sunny, seasonably warm and pleasant, high 80.  Wind NW 4-8 MPH.

Thursday night, mainly cloudy, cooler, lows near 45, wind NE 3-7 MPH.

Friday, partly sunny, cooler, high 73.

Saturday, periods of clouds and sunshine, a bit warmer, a slight chance of a hit & run shower, high 75.

Sunday, mostly cloudy, a few scattered afternoon showers are possible, warmer, high 79.

Monday, partly sunny to start, clouds thicken in the afternoon, expect some scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm by dark, high 81.

Tuesday, cloudy, scattered showers and thunderstorms likely, high 81.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I hope you have a great day!  Blessings.