Saturday, May 5, 2012

Cloudy, Cooler, Quiet...

Good Morning!


We have some clouds in the area, and some rain moving into Michigan from off the lake, though I don't think we'll see anything here in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone.  If we do, there won't be much to it.  Let's put on the swim gear and take a deeper dive:


TEMPERATURES:  We'll see temperatures retreat to the seasonable if a bit cool regime for the next several days from the 80+ readings we had Thursday.  Temperatures will spend most of their days in the 60's to mid 70's, with mid 40's at night.  In fact, that pattern looks to hold through next week, if the modeling is right.  Sunday will be the warmest day of the next six as it stands now, climbing into the mid 70's - after that, we'll be in that 60-73 degree range I mentioned above.


RAIN:  A different look at total rainfall for the next five days from the National Weather Service, as the expected five day rain totals have been chopped WAY down.  All of Michigan is now expected to see an inch or less of rain between now and Wednesday - quite a bit different from prior forecast runs.  Here's the map showing the NWS idea of how wet we get the next five days:


Accordingly, any shower mentions we do put in the forecast that actually pan out won't amount to a whole lot.  It looks like the best chance of rain the next six days will be Monday into Tuesday.  A couple more model runs should nail that down for us.


SEVERE WEATHER:  Of the next three days, tomorrow is the only day with any risk category defined for Michigan from the Storm Prediction Center, and that's just the "general" risk for plain ol' everyday thunderstorms.  Here's a look at the SPC forecast maps for today and tomorrow, valid at 8AM as usual.


 Today
Tomorrow


Relatively calm and quiet here, the rough stuff stays south and west of us for the next few days.


Here's a little bit different look for you today at what's going on currently.  This is the current visible satellite image, with the NEXRAD radar composite reflectivity product layered on top of it.  So you can see where the clouds are and where it's raining in one image...




And here's the local forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Grass Lake and Parma.


For today, mainly cloudy skies with a couple of peeks at sunshine, a chance of an isolated shower, high temperature of 70, winds ENE 7-15 MPH.


Tonight, more clouds than stars, cool, nighttime lows roll all the way back to 45, winds ESE 5-10 MPH.


Sunday, mainly clear skies with a few passing clouds that increase during the afternoon, seasonable and pleasant, high temperatures near 73, winds ESE 7-15 MPH.


Sunday night, clouds keep thickening until we get to mostly cloudy skies, a touch warmer overnight as the clouds blanket the daytime heat, lows down to around 47, winds ESE 5-10 MPH.


Monday, mostly overcast skies with a glimpse or two of sun, scattered to numerous showers move in later in the evening, high near 70, winds ESE 10-15 MPH.


Tuesday, clouds persist, a chance of scattered showers, high only 67.


Wednesday, a few peeks of sunshine break up an otherwise cloudy day, a few lonely showers are possible, cooler with a high of only 62.


Thursday, clouds finally vacate the area for awhile, leaving us clear and pleasant, high temperature 66.


Friday, sunny, seasonable, splendid, lots of blue skies with a high temperature of 70.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone, I do hope you have a wonderful Saturday!  Blessings.

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