Sunday, May 6, 2012

Clouds...Plenty of Clouds...

Good Morning!


Unfortunately, clouds persisted last night and spoiled our chances to see Super Moon, though there were some great shots of him from other parts of the US on Twitter last night.  We'll keep clouds around here for the next few days and along with that, we'll have a chance at showers and thunderstorms each day for the next couple of days.  Deeper dive - coming up!


TEMPERATURES:  We'll stay fairly seasonable and actually a bit on the cool side for the first full week of May, as clouds persist well into the week and we have a surface low coming through here Monday evening into Tuesday.  After that low vacates the premises, high pressure builds in behind it, considering that we'll be in the bottom of an upper-level trough, we don't get that warm.  I talked 60's to lower 70's yesterday for the next few days, and that still looks good so far.  Here's a look at temperatures around the US as I write the forecast:




RAIN:  The rain totals for the next five days are still holding fairly steady, according to the National Weather Services - that's rare in the spring season.  All of Michigan is forecast to come in at or just over an inch for the next five days.  If the models have it right, the best chance for rain looks to be tomorrow evening into Tuesday, then after that, rain chances diminish as high pressure builds into the area.  That rain doesn't look to amount to a whole lot, as right now, the modeling doesn't show any major-league upper level support to go with the surface low expected to track in here from the southwest.  Here's the map showing what the National Weather Service thinks of rain totals for the next five days.




SEVERE WEATHER:  Today and tomorrow, just a "general" risk of plain vanilla thunderstorms according to the Storm Prediction Center.  Adding Monday into the mix for storms is a change from yesterday, as originally, today was the only day of the next three to have any storm threat when I wrote yesterday's forecast.  As you can see right now it's just the southern third of lower Michigan with the threat on Monday, so yes, that does include the blog area.  Here's the maps, as always, valid at 8AM each day.


Day 1
Day 2


Let's take a look at the infrared satellite and NEXRAD radar composite image: quiet here in Michigan, very active out in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa, with an organized line or two of storms, and a couple of cells in those lines look like they're producing hail as well!




Now with the formalities out of the way, here's the local forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Napoleon and Hanover-Horton:


Today, more clouds than sun, mild, high near 73, winds ENE 5-15 MPH.


Tonight, mainly cloudy, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms after 11PM, lows near 50, winds ESE 8-15 MPH.


Monday and the new work week, cloudy skies, still mild, with scattered showers and a couple of roaming thunderstorms, high of 68.  Winds swing from easterly to westerly, 7-15 MPH.


Monday night, cloudy skies, still a chance of an isolated or scattered shower or storm, lows roll back to 48, winds NW 6-12 MPH.


Tuesday, clouds stay with us, a chance of isolated showers early, high of 68.


Wednesday, cloudy skies still, maybe a peek of sun, cooler, perhaps the chance of an isolated shower, highs only make it to 61.


Thursday, skies clear and become mostly sunny, very cool, high of 59.


Friday, clear skies, warmer, high 68.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great Sunday!  Blessings.

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