Good Evening!
I have had the chance to look at some forecast data for the next few days, and what I am seeing is a chance of some some flurries or perhaps some sleet or freezing precipitation. Temperatures should just manage to climb to 40 tomorrow, which would suggest perhaps a chance at rain, but for my money, I still like the snow or freezing precipitation bit. Wednesday, daytime highs don't stray too far above freezing, but fortunately we don't expect much beyond a mention of a chance of some snow flurries for the day.
Looking ahead I don't expect us to really get out of the precipitation until Thursday, and then that's a brief break, as we get a bit of a disturbance moving through Friday and perhaps the chance at something more significant into the weekend, with maybe some wrap-around snow on the back side of the low that looks to move right through the heart of Michigan.
I will have more for you tomorrow.
Have a great evening.
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
Monday, March 11, 2013
Feels Like Monday - Looks Like It Too...
Good Morning!
Before we get rolling today, I need to apologize for a forecast error. I told you that I didn't see any snow in the forecast for the next few days, and that is flat out WRONG. Last night when I posted this I was zoned out and didn't realize I had not refreshed my window with the NAM forecast model and the one that had the MOS (Model Output Statistics) in it. Therefore, I was giving you a forecast on old data. I apologize. Let's move on and fix my goof with fresh data from this morning.
SUMMARY: Gray and dreary around the area with some drizzle and light shower activity in a line from Midland all the way southwest back to Kalamazoo. Have a look at the Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar image:
This kind of activity stays with us throughout the day as the surface low works it's way up into the north-central part of Michigan, dragging his cold front along with him. That keeps us damp for awhile, then the winds shift westerly and the temperature drops sharply. I hate to say it, but we won't see those upper 50's readings again for at least a week, if not longer. A trough shovels it's way in with some Canadian air, sending the mercury back into the near-freezing and sub freezing ranges. In fact, we nearly chop the overnight low in half from the last two nights; 20's as opposed to 40's. Seasonably cold weather after we get through Wednesday, with some sunshine to brighten things up in time for the weekend. Average high is 44 and low 25 for this time of year here, and we run a bit cooler than that into Thursday.
PRECIPITATION: We'll keep anything from drizzle to light showers in the area today, then as the temperatures drop, a few snowflakes can't be eliminated from consideration. The good news is that the chances of said snowflakes falling become pretty low starting tomorrow. We'll leave just a mention of some flurries in the picture for Tuesday into Wednesday.
Here's a look at the 5 Day Precipitation Forecast from the National Weather Service:
As you can see, no major headaches for us regarding precip through 8 AM Saturday, just a half inch of liquid on the high side, and no late winter/early spring snow mischief in the works at this time. You can't say the same for Ohio and points southeast, plenty of rain plus snow melt may cause some flooding problems.
Here's a look at the infrared satellite, showing all of us the clouds in the area that won't be moving out anytime soon:
And here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Tompkins:
Today, cloudy, damp, some drizzle or light rain; high 51 early, falling into the 40's by evening. Wind SSW 10-15 MPH.
Tonight, cloudy, some lingering drizzle may change to flurries, sharply colder as compared to Sunday night, lows near 28, wind WSW 6-12 MPH.
Tuesday, continued cloudy, colder, a few flurries possible in some spots, high 34, wind W 6-12 MPH.
Tuesday night, continued cloudy and chilly, some stray snowflakes still linger, cold, low 19, NW winds 5-10 MPH.
Wednesday, mainly cloudy, a few afternoon peeks of sun possible, high 34.
Thursday, partly sunny, a bit milder, high 37.
Friday, a mix of clouds and sun, warmer still, high 40.
Saturday, increasing clouds, a stray shower can't be ruled out, high 44.
Sunday, becoming sunny and seasonably pleasant, high 45.
There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great Monday! Blessings.
Before we get rolling today, I need to apologize for a forecast error. I told you that I didn't see any snow in the forecast for the next few days, and that is flat out WRONG. Last night when I posted this I was zoned out and didn't realize I had not refreshed my window with the NAM forecast model and the one that had the MOS (Model Output Statistics) in it. Therefore, I was giving you a forecast on old data. I apologize. Let's move on and fix my goof with fresh data from this morning.
SUMMARY: Gray and dreary around the area with some drizzle and light shower activity in a line from Midland all the way southwest back to Kalamazoo. Have a look at the Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar image:
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| Grand Rapids NEXRAD Radar Reflectivity |
PRECIPITATION: We'll keep anything from drizzle to light showers in the area today, then as the temperatures drop, a few snowflakes can't be eliminated from consideration. The good news is that the chances of said snowflakes falling become pretty low starting tomorrow. We'll leave just a mention of some flurries in the picture for Tuesday into Wednesday.
Here's a look at the 5 Day Precipitation Forecast from the National Weather Service:
 |
| National Weather Service 5-Day Precipitation Forecast |
Here's a look at the infrared satellite, showing all of us the clouds in the area that won't be moving out anytime soon:
 |
| Infrared Satellite Image |
Today, cloudy, damp, some drizzle or light rain; high 51 early, falling into the 40's by evening. Wind SSW 10-15 MPH.
Tonight, cloudy, some lingering drizzle may change to flurries, sharply colder as compared to Sunday night, lows near 28, wind WSW 6-12 MPH.
Tuesday, continued cloudy, colder, a few flurries possible in some spots, high 34, wind W 6-12 MPH.
Tuesday night, continued cloudy and chilly, some stray snowflakes still linger, cold, low 19, NW winds 5-10 MPH.
Wednesday, mainly cloudy, a few afternoon peeks of sun possible, high 34.
Thursday, partly sunny, a bit milder, high 37.
Friday, a mix of clouds and sun, warmer still, high 40.
Saturday, increasing clouds, a stray shower can't be ruled out, high 44.
Sunday, becoming sunny and seasonably pleasant, high 45.
There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great Monday! Blessings.
Sunday, March 10, 2013
Cooling Down & Damp
Good Evening!
It turned out to be wonderful early Spring today across South Central Michigan with the warm spots in the area in the south zone of the blog. Adrian made it to 60 today, with 59's in Jackson and Battle Creek. While it wasn't bright blue skies all around, it was far from the rain that we expected. The extra hour of daylight alos made it's presence felt too. Let's take a closer look at what coming for the next few days:
SUMMARY: It was nice while it lasted. The unseasonably mild air slowly filters out of here over the next 24 hours as cooler air works in with the surface low tracking at us from the south-southwest, dragging some showers and a cold front along with it. The good news is that while it does turn colder, I don't see it getting cold enough for us to have to worry about snow, at least not for awhile. Temperatures should top out in the 50-53 range for Monday, then we start trending back down to more seasonable conditions thereafter. Average high this time of year is 44, so we were almost 20 degrees warmer than that today! Today had some shades of last March, when we were averaging 15-20 degrees above normal every day for pretty much the whole month.
Looking down the line, readings fall back into the upper 30's mid week, but then rebound nicely in time for the weekend, with mid to upper 40's in the forecast.
PRECIPITATION: Rain moves into the area over night as the surface low arrives with it's attendant cold front. Nothing severe expected as we are cool and stable, this will be just some showers and general rain for the area. Let's have a look at the National Weather Service 5 Day Precipitation Forecast and get a feel for what's in store:
As you can see with the change in the track of the low and such, we are looking drier than we did in prior forecasts. Now we shouldn't see much more than a half inch in this part of the world. Heavier rain will fall to the southeast, so they still have to keep an eye out for some flooding issues, as we get rain and snow melt emptying into rivers at the same time.
After the cold front moves through and away, we stay fairly quiet, a couple of upper waves move through that may touch off some hit and miss shower activity Tuesday evening and then again Friday into Saturday. High pressure and northwesterly flow between those two chances at precipitation. Not really much else going on after that until the latter part of next week.
Tonight: Periods of scattered showers, low 41, wind SW 5-10 MPH.
Tomorrow: Cloudy skies, some showers persist into the afternoon, high 51 early, then dropping back into the mid to upper 40's by evening. Wind turning WNW 10-15 MPH.
Monday Night: Mainly cloudy skies, sharply colder, lows all the way back to 31, wind NW 5-10 MPH.
Tuesday: Cloudy, seasonably chilly, high 37.
There's your forecast to start the week, I hope that you have a good night!
It turned out to be wonderful early Spring today across South Central Michigan with the warm spots in the area in the south zone of the blog. Adrian made it to 60 today, with 59's in Jackson and Battle Creek. While it wasn't bright blue skies all around, it was far from the rain that we expected. The extra hour of daylight alos made it's presence felt too. Let's take a closer look at what coming for the next few days:
SUMMARY: It was nice while it lasted. The unseasonably mild air slowly filters out of here over the next 24 hours as cooler air works in with the surface low tracking at us from the south-southwest, dragging some showers and a cold front along with it. The good news is that while it does turn colder, I don't see it getting cold enough for us to have to worry about snow, at least not for awhile. Temperatures should top out in the 50-53 range for Monday, then we start trending back down to more seasonable conditions thereafter. Average high this time of year is 44, so we were almost 20 degrees warmer than that today! Today had some shades of last March, when we were averaging 15-20 degrees above normal every day for pretty much the whole month.
Looking down the line, readings fall back into the upper 30's mid week, but then rebound nicely in time for the weekend, with mid to upper 40's in the forecast.
PRECIPITATION: Rain moves into the area over night as the surface low arrives with it's attendant cold front. Nothing severe expected as we are cool and stable, this will be just some showers and general rain for the area. Let's have a look at the National Weather Service 5 Day Precipitation Forecast and get a feel for what's in store:
As you can see with the change in the track of the low and such, we are looking drier than we did in prior forecasts. Now we shouldn't see much more than a half inch in this part of the world. Heavier rain will fall to the southeast, so they still have to keep an eye out for some flooding issues, as we get rain and snow melt emptying into rivers at the same time.
After the cold front moves through and away, we stay fairly quiet, a couple of upper waves move through that may touch off some hit and miss shower activity Tuesday evening and then again Friday into Saturday. High pressure and northwesterly flow between those two chances at precipitation. Not really much else going on after that until the latter part of next week.
Tonight: Periods of scattered showers, low 41, wind SW 5-10 MPH.
Tomorrow: Cloudy skies, some showers persist into the afternoon, high 51 early, then dropping back into the mid to upper 40's by evening. Wind turning WNW 10-15 MPH.
Monday Night: Mainly cloudy skies, sharply colder, lows all the way back to 31, wind NW 5-10 MPH.
Tuesday: Cloudy, seasonably chilly, high 37.
There's your forecast to start the week, I hope that you have a good night!
Spring-Like Afternoon In Progress...
Hello!
Looks like shades of Spring in the air. Temperature readings pushing well into the 50's across the area with some station pushing 60 at this hour, with some sunshine to boot! Have a look at the temperatures and current NEXRAD radar image:
Clouds will thicken and the rain should start falling later, as it looks like the surface low will track more north-northeast and. not so much east. That means we'll stay in the warm sector of the system, rain will stay around longer. We'll see that for most of the day tomorrow.
More to come...
Looks like shades of Spring in the air. Temperature readings pushing well into the 50's across the area with some station pushing 60 at this hour, with some sunshine to boot! Have a look at the temperatures and current NEXRAD radar image:
Clouds will thicken and the rain should start falling later, as it looks like the surface low will track more north-northeast and. not so much east. That means we'll stay in the warm sector of the system, rain will stay around longer. We'll see that for most of the day tomorrow.
More to come...
Quick Look For Sunday
Good Morning!
Cloudy skies and scattered showers in the area right now, have a look at the Grand Rapids NEXRAD...
We'll keep that around most of the day today and into tomorrow as well. Forecast for today below:
Have a GREAT Sunday
Cloudy skies and scattered showers in the area right now, have a look at the Grand Rapids NEXRAD...
We'll keep that around most of the day today and into tomorrow as well. Forecast for today below:
Have a GREAT Sunday
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