Severe Weather Possible Tomorrow

Good Morning!

A potentially dangerous weather setup appears to be coming together for tomorrow in South Central Michigan.  Let's get right into the details.

FIRST, TODAY:  We expect mainly clear skies today with readings in the upper 70's and the low 80's with abundant sunshine and west-northwest winds.  Tonight, we'll see readings roll back into the 60's.

THE SHOW TOMORROW:  The Storm Prediction Center has placed a good chunk of Southwest Michigan into a "moderate" risk of severe weather.  Here's the map:

We'll have a better handle on the specific risks later today, but just know that the Storm Prediction Center believes there is an almost even money chance of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a given point.  This means large hail, damaging wind, and supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes,

PLAYERS IN THE GAME:  Let's take a quick look at the the players expected to be on the field for tomorrow.

First, we have a vigorous trough with plenty of energy arriving from the west.  Along with it, showers and thunderstorms are expected to be in progress:

Here you see the belt of showers and thunderstorms that the Hi Res NAM forecast model expects to be in the area at around 11 PM tomorrow night.  I'm not saying that the storms will arrive in your area exactly at that time, but I think they won't deviate a lot from that point.  Looking at the air about 5000 feet off the ground, we see robust 40-50 knot winds from the south-southwest with plenty of moisture feeding into that storm complex...

This would be enough to maximize severe weather indexes and create havoc for sure!

We'll have a complete update on it for you later this evening, but for now, stay weather aware and continue to monitor the blog and your preferred source of weather information for updates.