Comfy & Summery...

Good Afternoon!

Plenty of warm weather to go around today, but not as hot as it has been.  Let's see what's going on right now.

NOT TOO BAD NOW:  Quite a bit cooler than what we have had in past days.  Most stations checking on with clear skies and readings in the mid to upper 70's...

All the winds are northerly.  Lansing 77; Mason 74; Battle Creek 75, Marshall, 77; Jackson 76; Ann Arbor 76; Coldwater & Hillsdale 76; Adrian 77.  Let's take a look and see what has changed.

BACK OF THE RIDGE:  Right now we are in cool Canadian air that is coming down the back of the ridge that has set up over much of the US.  Underneath that, readings are about 15 degrees warmer, and we are starting to see showers and thunderstorms popping...

Just look at some of those readings!  In Illinois, the SPI is Springfield, and that's 92 degrees over a 73 dew point, which is good for a heat index of 101!  In Iowa, DSM is Des Moines, 92 degrees over a dew point of 68.  That heat index is 96.  Just miserable.  We do note on this picture some thunderstorms starting to fire in South Central Illinois.  I don't anticipate us having to deal with them though.

SOME SCATTERED STARTING TUESDAY:  The next few days look to be your typical warm weather pattern.  Some sunshine in the morning, with clouds developing and increasing during the afternoon, and some PM showers or thunderstorms as a result.  We'll have to bump up the rain chances through the middle of the week though.  Each day Tuesday through Thursday will see at least an even money chance of showers and thunder.  I don't expect any severe at this time, but you should always expect the unexpected when it comes to warm season storms!

If we take a look at this GFS Forecast model FutureCast, we see that some showers and such are in the cards for the south zone of the blog Tuesday afternoon.  We'll keep that chance around during the afternoon and evening hours each day thru Thursday, but I do think we see a break in the rains after dark when everything cools off and the atmosphere stabilizes again in the absence of heating.

LOOKING DOWN THE LINE:  We'll see seasonable temperatures as the ridge in the middle third of the country stays more or less put, this will give us the chance of showers and thunderstorms through the middle part of the week, then the weekend is looking mainly sunny, with temperatures staying right around average.

Forecast:

Tonight - Clear and a bit chilly, lows near 46.

Monday - Sunny and splendid, mild with low humidity.  Temperatures near 77.

Monday Night - Increasing clouds, we can't rule a shower or clap of thunder during.  Lows near 60.

Tuesday - AM sunshine, periods of showers or a thunderstorm during the afternoon.  High 79.

Wednesday - Overcast.  Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.  High 82.

Thursday - Continued mainly cloudy with some scattered showers or a thunderstorm.  High 79.

Friday - Sunny and seasonable.  High 80.

Saturday - More sunshine, continued pleasant.  High 81.

There's your forecast for the next six days.  I hope that you have a great day!