I have a free minute or two to post an update to the weather event ongoing in Michigan right now. It looks like it will be awhile yet before things settle down, and I urge you to allow yourself some extra time to head home from work based on the ice and such that has fallen so far. Here's a look at some forecast data from the HRRR model:
This HRRR FutureCast map is valid at 5 PM this evening. As you can see, rain is just starting to work into the southern tier of counties, with ice and freezing rain still in the picture for most areas along and south of a line from Bay City to Pentwater. You also see that 991 MB surface low that's causing all this, and plenty of snow to go around for the northern half of the Lower Peninsula and Wisconsin, stretching back into Iowa.
Looking ahead, the same model, the HRRR, except time advanced to it's idea of what the radar might look like at 11 PM EST...
The surface low is out near Monmouth, IL, precipitation is all rain except for maybe St. John's, Owosso and Perry, with snow over the top of the mitten, the Upper Peninsula, and back over pretty much all of Wisconsin, The good news is that other than the little bit of snow that has fallen as part of the wintry mix, I don't expect any widespread accumulations. That's good, as you'll have your hands plenty full enough traveling with the ice and freezing rain.
We actually get a breather on Tuesday, but another weak disturbance gets here in time to touch off a bit of light snow on Wednesday morning. I expect less than an inch out of that, and it should be out of here by evening drive on Wednesday. I'll have more information about the rest of the forecast for you later.
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