Thursday, November 19, 2015

Weekend Snow....

Good Morning!

Cooler start to the day than we have had in awhile, with readings in the 40's at most reporting stations.  Let's have a look at the weekend and then next week.

SNOW ROLLING IN FOR SATURDAY:  As I said yesterday, snow will be rolling into the area early Saturday.  The question was how soon would we be in the snow.  Forecast data has shifted the track of the low pressure center south, so the small part of southeast Michigan that I said would see a later change to all snow, that idea is gone now.  Have a look at the latest forecast graphics off the GFS model:


As you can see, that FutureCast has a 1008 millibar low over near Union City at 1 PM, and snow as the result,  That low tracks almost due northeast, ending up in the thumb by 7 PM.  A couple of inches of snow will have fallen by that point.  Fortunately, for now, that low isn't far enough south to place South Central Michigan in the region of greatest dynamic support, so I'm suggesting no more than 2-4" of snow depending on your location.  As you get up toward Lansing and St. John's, my suspicion is the amounts will be slightly elevated there.  I could see areas between say, St. John's and Clare pick up snows in the 3-6" range.

COOL DOWN CONTINUES:  As we get closer to the weekend, start trimming degrees off the thermometer.  I expect highs in the lower 50's today, but say goodbye to those thereafter,  We drop through the 40's into the 30's overnight, then make it back to 40 for Friday.  The weekend keeps us around freezing for the snows to work into and through the area.  Have a look at this temperature map:


LOOKING AHEAD:  Next week, Holidays 2015 kicks off.  I don't see any huge travel issues in the cards for Wednesday or Thursday, but we'll need to keep an eye on a low coming out of the Plains for Turkey Day evening or Friday, that looks to bring periods of showers into the area, so waiting on your Black Friday Door-buster deals could be a wet affair.

Here's the forecast:

Today - Periods of clouds and sun, perhaps a stray shower, high 53.

Tonight - Clouds increase, chilly, lows near 20.

Friday - Becoming cloudy, not as warm.  High 44.

Friday Night - Overcast, snow developing after midnight,  Cold.  Lows near 20.

Saturday - Cloudy with periods of snow.  Accumulations 2-4" locally along and south of I-94, a bit higher as you travel north of I-96.  High only 31.

Sunday - Snow pretty much gone, becoming partly sunny and continued cold.  High 33.

Monday - Sunshine, not as cold. High 42.

Tuesday - Continued mainly clear.  High 44.

Wednesday - Partly cloudy, should be dry for Turkey Day travel though.  High 46.

There's your forecast, have a great day!  Blessings,.

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