The 4th Is Looking GOOD...

Hello!

A simply marvelous Fourth is on the way for us here - let's dive right in have a look!

BIG CHANGE:  Now that the warm, moist air we had in place for days leading up to the severe weather event Monday night is gone, cooler, drier Canadian air has worked into place.  This will give us breezy conditions, clouds (perhaps barely the mention of a lone shower), but more importantly, lower humidity and temperatures!

Northwesterly flow aloft feeding into a trough will keep temperatures in the area around 80 or below for the next few days.  No real rain chances on the horizon after tonight/early tomorrow until Sunday night or Monday at the earliest!  Forecast model data is suggesting that a small upper disturbance could touch off some showers:

Hi-Res NAM Model forecast at 500 mb for 8 AM tomorrow, marked up with major players in the overall picture of things - ONE MODEL - ONE SOLUTION (This one does jibe well with other data however)

Forecast radar picture for tomorrow...

This will be a short-duration gray sky with scattered raindrops affair.  NO BIG DEAL - travel to get where you're going if you're skipping town for the holiday should be just fine.  Those showers should be gone by early afternoon at the latest, clearing skies and SUNSHINE move in for the holiday!  Fireworks tonight may have a few clouds, but nothing big to worry about, and tomorrow night should be just fine.  Just pack your bug spray!

BEAUTIFUL HOLIDAY WEEKEND!:  Plenty of blue sky to go around, an occasional cloud, and temperatures in the mid 70's until Sunday at the earliest.  Model data is settling in the range of 73-77 dependent on location, and that looks about right.  Get out and enjoy it!  I'll have to check to see what the coolest 4th of July has been in the area, but this one I'd imagine would be at least in the ballpark!

RAIN STARTS THE NEW WEEK:  All goodies must come to an end, and the great holiday weather is no exception.  Clouds start working in Sunday afternoon, and by Sunday night, a few showers creep into the area - again, no big deal.  Monday morning you'll want the umbrella, with scattered to numerous showers and perhaps a buried storm outside as you head to work, courtesy of a low situated north of Lake Superior that is expected to move almost due east.  Here's a look:

I expect these showers to be out of here by mid to late afternoon on Monday, but the clouds will likely hang on until we get toward nighttime.  Some sunshine Tuesday, then another round of showers develops and heads in.  As we get into the week, the upper air flow resets to an almost straight west to east setup, allowing warmer, moister air to ease in, and setting us up for the typical scenario:  fair skies, scattered afternoon or evening showers and perhaps a storm.

OK, with all of that out the way, here's what I'm seeing from the perch...

And here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Vandercook Lake:

And the extended outlook:

I hope that you have a wonderful hump day!  Blessings...