Tuesday, July 8, 2014

A Break From The Rains...

Good Morning!

Gray, wet and dreary.  That about sums it up.  The good news?  Changes on the way later today, in the form of clearing skies and cooler weather.  In fact, we expect some unseasonably cool weather for for mid-July if the longer range forecast computers have a grip on things.  Let's take care of the immediate picture though:

RAINY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON:  The cold front pushing through that's attached to a surface low marching into Ontario province at this hour will keep on moving through.  I expect by the time lunch is over the rains should stop and you'll see some clearing.  We can't rule out a few more pop-up showers or even a lonely thunderstorm into the afternoon hours though.  Here's the current radar:

Tru-Track Doppler at 11:15 AM - Back end to the rain working into the blog area, the Detroit metro area should see clearing starting by about 2 PM.
A FEW CLOUDS & COOLER AFTER THIS:  Some clouds will persist as high pressure builds in behind this frontal system, but this will be Canadian high pressure, with northwesterly flow from Canada keeping things cooler than normal for a couple of days.  We'll stay at 80 or below through Thursday, then warm into summer readings after that.

RAIN MOVES BACK IN FOR SATURDAY:  From the perch here, fairly nice weather through Friday, clouds develop late Friday, thicken through the day Saturday, and Saturday night, we pick up some scattered showers and a few storms in the area.  Timing will change on this I'm sure, so I'll let you know as we get closer to that time what things look like.  The computers are showing me a low that will track north of an imaginary line drawn between Grand Rapids and Port Huron, and if that's the right look, the areas that have been soaked in that part of Michigan will have fresh flooding concerns to work through.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY LOOKING DRY:  No huge issue for the blog with the rain this weekend unless you're north of I-96.  Multiple trips into the shower have things fairly wet up that way.  Good news is that the start of the workweek looks dry.  Here's the extended precipitation forecast map:


I typically don't put the seven day forecast map here since the prediction skill level isn't all that great, but just looking at the bigger pattern through the forecast window it seems to fit, and I don't think the GFS forecast model is out to lunch at the moment.

Running short on time, so here's the forecast:

Today - Rain tapers off by early afternoon, some clearing.  High 77, W winds turning NW 5-10 MPH.

Tonight - Clear, cool, low 54.  Wind NW 5-8 MPH.

Tomorrow - Mostly sunny with a few passing clouds, unseasonably cool, high 74.  Wind NNW 5-9 MPH.

Wednesday Night - Starry skies and very cool, low 52.  Winds NNW 3-6 MPH.

Thursday - Sunny and warmer, high 80.

Friday - Continued sunny, a touch warmer still, high 81.

Saturday - Partly sunny to start, increasing PM clouds, scattered showers and a few storms by nightfall, high 85.

Sunday - Cloudy, warmer and more humid, periods of showers and thunderstorms, high 87.

Monday - Some clearing and not as warm, high 81.

There's your forecast, have a great day!  Blessings.

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