A Bit Quieter For Awhile...

Good Morning!

After a couple of days with severe weather in the mix, a more benign look to the weather pattern in the area, though we do keep raindrops in the picture until early next week.  Let's take a look:

QUIETER AND CLOUDY, THANK YOU:  No formal severe weather risk on tap today according to the Storm Prediction Center, as the better dynamics and ingredients for big time storms are still nestled in the Plains, with Iowa and Kansas having the best look for severe activity later.  Here's the SPC risk map:

Even with no formal risk, we could still see a lonely afternoon storm in this part of the world today.  A brief downpour and perhaps some wind gusts would be the primary issues.  We don't fully get rid of the clouds for awhile yet, but we do get a quick breather from the rain and storms for the most part.

DAMP FRIDAY CLOSES THE WORK WEEK:  Forecast data is suggesting clouds with a ragged line of showers and a few storms moving through late morning or lunchtime Friday.  That line looks to cover most of the Lower Peninsula as it moves through.  Here's the NAM model futurecast for tomorrow at 11 AM EDT:

As always, the disclaimer applies - ONE forecast model - ONE solution.  With that in mind, the data all seem to agree on a line of showers working though the area tomorrow, with varying ideas on time, so we definitely mention some scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  I think the NAM provides the most balanced look of the models I checked today, so that's why I'm going with this futurecast.  Beyond that, some sun and drier for the weekend.  Make sure you have the insect repellent, as the rains this week will spawn a fresh crop of bugs!

A WET START TO THE NEW WEEK:  After a respite from the rain Saturday and Sunday, Monday brings clouds again and the shower gets turned back on.  That in turn, causes me to say what you hear so much from forecasters and meteorologists this time of year: periods of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms.  We keep those on the table through Tuesday evening, then high pressure works into the area, clearing the skies and drying us out.  That dryness stays with us until Sunday, when the next weather maker finishes shoving the high off to the east, and skies again cloud up.

REASONABLE TEMPERATURES, IF A BIT COOL:  The next several days in the area will see readings right around normal, which is about 82.  We'll be a bit cooler than that today and tomorrow, with readings hovering near 78.  I say a bit cool because looking down the line, computers are suggesting highs that don't make 75 after the rain and such next week!

Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Grass Lake:

And here's the extended outlook:

That's how things look to unfold in the coming days.  I hope this day is a great one for you!  Blessings.