Taking a look at the forecast data, changes abound. We'll get an early taste of winter to go with our fall, as conditions set up to support some snow later this week. Let's talk about it.
COLDER AND CLOUDY: The days are getting shorter, and the leaves have started to change and drop, along with some chilly nights and crisp mornings in the area. Any trees that are still thinking it's summer will have their hopes dashed by mid week, with an early season Canadian Special coming into the area, bringing sub-freezing readings with it and a show at some snow later this week. The GFS forecast model is printing a low of 29 for Wednesday! Those kind of readings will bring us a credible shot at...
A TOUCH OF SNOW: Some areas of the blog will see a bit of snow as early as tomorrow night. While I don't expect any accumulation, I do expect some slick travel during the nighttime hours as the mercury dips below freezing. Winds out of the northwest will crank up the lake effect snow machine for the first time this cold season, so be aware! Let's have a look at a graphic:
This is a future look at what the NAM forecast model thinks our radar may look like tomorrow night. Plenty of precipitation in the area, this would be a rain changing to snow or freezing rain deal. Again, I don't think we see any accumulation, the ground is too warm. I do think some slick spots aren't out of the question, so if you must drive, use caution. That being said, I suspect the timing on this may be a little ambitious. I like a more overnight time frame for it all to show up. So I'm saying that yes, it won't shock me to see the radar look something like this, but it would be later on in the evening, not this early. Don't worry, it doesn't stay around long, but the cooler readings do, at least until...
A BIT OF WARMING SHOWS UP FOR THE WEEKEND: We don't see daytime highs get out of the 40's in a lot of spots in the area until Friday at the earliest, when we might see a 50. Nighttime readings stay a couple of degrees either side of freezing depending on your location. Average high this time of year is right around 55 degrees, we'll stay 5-8 degrees off of that until the weekend, when we get back to 54, if the forecast models have the right solution in mind.
NO SEVERE WEATHER: You can pretty well stick a fork in severe weather for the season I would think, with the late season pattern starting to suggest hints of winter, any weather makers will be bringing cold and/or snow for now. That being sais, expect the unexpected. No severe weather threat anywhere in the continental US for the next three days. Here's your forecast:
Tonight, cloudy, maybe a sprinkle, chilly, lows near freezing. Wind W 7-14 MPH will bring sub-freezing wind chills into play.
Tomorrow, cloudy, breezy, seasonably cool, high 50. Wind NW 5-10 MPH, rolling back to 3-7 MPH for the evening.
Tomorrow night, variably cloudy, periods of rain and snow flurries mixed, or even some light snow with no accumulation possible, low 30.
Here's a look at the extended forecast:
Have a wonderful evening! I hope it will not be another month and a half before I can write another post for you! Blessings.
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