Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Seasonable Summer Weather...Showers Make A Weekend Visit...

Good Morning!

Busy day today so we will just run with an abbreviated discussion and then the forecast for you.


TEMPERATURES:  We will see temperatures in the mid to upper 80's today, and 90 is not out the question for the weekend.  Southwesterly flow comes into the area in the next day or so, bringing with it some heat, and an increased chance of showers and storms.  I don't expect any stifling, oppressive heat like we have had this summer this on this go-round, but heat index values into the mid 90's aren't unrealistic.


RAIN:  Rain chances ramp up throughout the area for the next few days, with two decent shots at rain based on the forecast models.  The first chance comes Thursday after dinner into Friday, and the second opportunity is Sunday.  That being said, we don't truly get rid of a chance at rain at any time through the weekend, the windows I just mentioned stand out as the best ones right now.  Looking at it sitting on the perch today, both events would be scattered shower with hit-and-run thunderstorm type affairs.  The National Weather Service is suggesting half to three-quarter inch totals for the next five across much of Michigan, and that forecast doesn't look out of line to me.


SEVERE WEATHER:  Not much expected here for the next 72 hours.  Day One, general storm risk northwest of us, but some of those may drift into the blog area, becoming a north zone deal.  Day Two, general risk of plain-vanilla storms across the entire state.  Day Three, nothing in either Michigan peninsula yet, but that forecast doesn't get fully fleshed out until late this evening/tomorrow.


Here's the forecast for Jackson County:


Today, mostly sunny, warm, high 86, winds N turning SW 3-8 MPH.


Tonight, starry skies, seasonably mild, lows near 64, winds SW 3-8 MPH.


Thursday, mainly sunny skies, a few passing clouds, high 87, winds SW 4-9 MPH.


Thursday night, skies become cloudy, a chance of an isolated or widely scattered shower or storm, low 65, winds SW 4-8 MPH.


Friday, more clouds than sunshine, breezy, chance of a late afternoon or evening isolated or scattered shower or thunderstorm, high 86.


Saturday, mainly cloudy skies, a few peeks of sun, we can't rule out a scattered shower or thunderstorm, high 88.


Sunday, clouds persist with a few breaks for sunshine, we keep a chance of showers around until late in the day, cooler, high 81.


Monday, sunny, seasonable, pleasant, high 82.


Tuesday, continued mostly clear, a few after lunch clouds pass by, warmer, high 84.


There's your forecast for the next six days, i do hope you have a great Hump Day Wednesday, look for an updated discussion this afternoon time permitting!  Blessings.

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