Monday, August 6, 2012

Great Mid-Summer Weather!!!

Good Afternoon!

A gorgeous day is shaping up here in the South Central Michigan Weather Zone for you today.  Abundant sunshine and comfortable temperatures, it doesn't get a whole better than this!  I want to show you a graphic right out of the blocks today, this is a value called precipitable water...
Precipitable Water
Precipitable Water (PW) is another measure of moisture in the atmosphere, specifically water vapor.  If we were to get a ridiculously long rain gauge (a couple of miles long), stand it up, bottle up some air in it and then condense out all the water so it's liquid and not gas, you'd have some water in the bottom of the gauge; the higher the PW value, the more moisture there is to make clouds and perhaps precipitate on you.  Meteorologists and forecasters use this as one of many tools to help them determine a given area's shot at cloud cover and precipitation.

Now that the explanation is over, you can see the low PW values of an inch or less here, that with the northwesterly flow means blue skies, dry, comfy, non-humid air, but unfortunately, no rain.  The dewpoints are also very low today as well.  IN fact, let's pop the hood and see what else is going on here...

TEMPERATURES:  We'll see temperatures stay in this mild, pleasant regime for the next few days.  The heat is bottled up in the southwest, and a deep trough has settled in over the eastern part of the US.  Daytime highs around the area should stay in the 79-84 range until Wednesday, then after that we start to see things warm a bit, in advance of the next weather maker.

RAIN: The National Weather Service is forecasting a half-inch for this area and we are bracketed by areas closer to an inch of rain.  The half-inch prediction looks right to me, we'll have to see what the modeling shows us as we get a little closer to Thursday, as that is the next solid chance for rain in this area.  Here's a look at that five day precipitation forecast from the NWS.
5 Day Precipitation Forecast
SEVERE WEATHER:  Not is this part of the world.  The Storm Prediction Center is showing the severe weather anywhere else but here for today.  Tomorrow we so see a "general" risk for garden variety thunderstorms, but beyond that, not much in the way of anything significant.  Day three, a 5% chance is showing up in the Upper Peninsula.  Not much beyond that.

Just an isolated patch of high clouds well to the northwest of us, other than that, clear as can be in Michigan...
Visible Satellite Image
Here's a look at the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Hanover-Horton and Springport:

For today, sunny skies, gentle breezes, seasonably pleasant, high of 82, winds SW 5-10 MPH.

Tonight, starry skies, perhaps a lone cloud or two floats by late, lows down to 58, winds NW 3-7 MPH.

Tuesday, continued sunny and a bit warmer, high 84, winds WSW 5-10 MPH.

Tuesday night, another mainly clear night, a few clouds form late, lows roll back to 61, winds WSW 3-8 MPH.

Wednesday, plenty of sunshine with a few passing clouds later in the day, high 83, winds NW 5-10 MPH.

Thursday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, a chance of scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, high 84.

Friday, partly cloudy skies early, a chance of scattered showers in the morning and early afternoon cannot be ruled out, high 80.

Saturday, mostly sunny, breezy, high 81.

Sunday, another sunny day with a few clouds in the afternoon, a touch cooler, high 80.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great day!
Blessings.

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