Saturday, July 21, 2012

One More Nice One, Then Heating Up...

Good Morning!


We'll see another day of great weather across South Central Michigan, then temperatures and humidity start to climb as we flirt with getting shoved into the oven yet again!  Let's take a look and see what we have under the hood for the next few days.


TEMPERATURES:  Another day of seasonably warm temperatures with low humidity is on deck for us here.  We'll see temperatures in the mid 80's in most places, perhaps a degree or two cooler in the north zone.  The key to it is that dewpoints will remain below 60.  That trend starts changing tomorrow.  We'll see temperatures edge toward 90 and dewpoints climbing into the middle 60's tomorrow afternoon, and perhaps making it to 70 for Monday.  The start of the new work week looks to be hot and steamy, with heat index values well into the 90's.  We never totally get rid of the dampness pretty much right through the week, with dewpoints settling in the middle 60's.


RAIN:  Monday and Tuesday look to be the stickiest days of the upcoming week, so it makes sense that they also feature the best chances to get wet.  Each day will bring with it an almost 50/50 chance of scattered showers and thunder, and as I have been saying all summer, we'll take it!  The National Weather Service is showing us a little wetter look for the next five days than we previously had.  Here's a look at that forecast map for you...


5 Day Precipitation Forecast
As you see, about a half inch of rain in this part of the world, and based on the evolving setup, that number seems reasonable, if only in a hit and miss fashion, as most thunderstorms are.


SEVERE WEATHER:  We don't see any severe weather for the next three days according to the Storm Prediction Center, just garden variety storms.  Today I can buy that, tomorrow and Monday I would not be at all surprised to see a slight risk bullseye pop up over Michigan as the forecast continues to be refined.


Here's the visible satellite with the NEXRAD composite overlaid on it, as you can see, showers and storms way up in the Upper Peninsula and back through Wisconsin, nothing in this part of the world.


Visible Satellite with NEXRAD Composite Overlay
Here's the local forecast for Jackson County:


Today, mostly sunny skies, continued pleasant with a few passing clouds, high 83, winds SW 3-8 MPH.


Tonight, partly starry skies, clouds continue to float through occasionally, not as cool as last night, with a nighttime low of 65, winds continue SW 3-8 MPH. 


Sunday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, becoming cloudy, warmer and more humid as the day progresses, a chance at an isolated or widely scattered shower or storm, high 88, winds SW 7-14 MPH.


Sunday night, still partly cloudy skies, we can't rule out a widely scattered shower or thunderstorm, low only 70.  Winds SW 5-10 MPH.


Monday, continued cloudy warm and muggy, chance of widely scattered or scattered showers and thunderstorms, high 90.


Tuesday, partly cloudy skies with some peeks of sun here and there, we keep the chance of isolated showers or a roaming thunderstorm around, high 87.


Wednesday, clearing skies and cooler, humidity levels drop some as well, high temperature 84.


Thursday, still mainly sunny with a few passing clouds, continued seasonably warm, high 84.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great Saturday!  Blessings!.

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