Hot And Humid...Multiple Chances At Rain...

Good Morning!


We had a little bit of widely scattered shower activity move through the area in the pre-dawn hours.  Jackson barely picked up anything measurable, the airport recorded .01 of an inch.  That has moved on through, giving way to partly sunny skies and southwesterly breezes.  We'll keep those around for awhile, and have another crack at some showers and thunderstorms later today.  Time to pop the hood and see what's running under there!


TEMPERATURES:  The heat dome is fighting to invade once again, but it'll stop just short of us.  Doesn't really matter where it is though, as we'll still be plenty hot.  Temperatures will climb into the mid 90's in most spots around the blog area today, and moist dewpoints in the middle 60's or better raise the chance of triple digit heat index values this afternoon.  Here's the wildcard.  We have a chance at showers and storms this afternoon, and any rain will cool it down for us, if only briefly.  We'll start to see the heat go down as we approach the weekend.


RAIN:  We didn't see much this morning under the cover of darkness, but not to worry.  We'll have another shot at some rain later today, and it looks like a couple more chances after that through the rest of the week.  Any rain we get is beneficial and needed!  The National Weather Service has changed the look for South Central Michigan and rolled back the five day rain totals a bit, as I figured they would.  I predicted a shade over 2 inches on the high side for most parts of the blog, and the NWS is now suggesting around an inch and-a-half.  Here's the map for you:

National Weather Service 5 Day Precipitation Forecast

Computer modeling is suggesting widely scattered showers late tonight, then again on Wednesday night and Thursday night.  We'll shore that up as more data becomes available.


SEVERE WEATHER:  Here's something that I haven't had to say in a while.  We are under a risk for severe weather for the better part of the three days covered by the Storm Prediction Center.  Today and Wednesday we are under a "slight" risk bullseye, and tomorrow, just the garden variety thunderstorms are forecast.  Here's the outlooks from the SPC for the next three days, each one valid at 8AM EDT:

Day 1 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook 

Day 3 Outlook

The greatest threat from any storms that do develop are wind and hail.  Nothing that should produce a tornado is expected.

Some clouds off to the southwest and moving away from us here on the satellite image:

Visible Satellite Image

And here's the forecast for Jackson County:


For today, periods of clouds and sun, hot and muggy, isolated to widely scattered showers or thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, high 94, winds SSW 7-14 MPH.


Tonight, mostly cloudy skies, still the chance of an isolated or scattered shower or thunderstorm, low 67, winds SW 5-10 MPH.


Tuesday, more sun than clouds, not quite as warm, high 86, winds NW 5-10 MPH.


Tuesday night, mixed clouds and stars, cooler, nighttime low 64, winds NE 5-10 MPH.


Wednesday, continued partly sunny and seasonably warm, chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm, high 85.


Thursday, cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms high 84.


Friday, continued mostly cloudy, a scattered shower or storm still can't be ruled out, high 82.


Saturday, a mix of clouds and sunshine, cooler and less humid, high 80.


That's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great Monday! Blessings.