Shhh...Quiet Pattern Working...Change The Temperature For Variety...

Good Morning!  A quiet, routine pattern has established itself for the area, and I don't see that changing for the next several days.  Sun, mild, dry.  Let's take a deeper dive and see why we're getting that!


TEMPERATURES:  We'll stay right around seasonable levels for the next several days, with no wholesale changes to the weather pattern expected.  The air masses are pretty much locked in where they are now, or being slowed way down and/or diverted in their eastward progression across the US, with just a few disturbances here and there.  As a result, fairly dry and stable air for Michigan with low humidity off a northwesterly flow results in a benign pattern.  Temperatures set up shop in the 70's and remain there until later this week, when the warmer, more summer-like air returns in time for the weekend, bringing 80s or better back to the area.  Here's a look at the temperatures around the nation at this hour.

RAIN:  Still a pretty dry look for Michigan.  We could use some rain, as we were light last month, and that trend is continuing, according to the National Weather Service...here's their idea of rain for the next five days...

Computer modeling doesn't show any big rainmakers coming down the pike for the next few days, owing to the upper air flow mentioned above.  That's why we have been dry and "air-conditioned" the last few days, and that trend should continue.  We'll be lucky to pick up a half inch of rain the next five days.  Keep watering the lawn!


SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing close to us here in Michigan for the next few days, unless you count the "general" risk of garden-variety stuff in the west half of the Upper Peninsula.  There's is quite a bit of slight risk in the nation though, and for that reason I am including the maps.  Here's a look at the maps from the Storm Prediction Center for today and tomorrow.  As usual, these are valid at 7AM EDT each day.

 Day 1

Day 2

Notice the "slight" risk way up in the northwest - you don't see that too often.  There's a 30% risk running around in that "slight" area too, that's something to pay close attention to.  In addition, there is a slight risk at the extreme south end of Tornado Alley including a sliver of New Mexico, then another "slight" risk starting in southern Illinois and tracking southeast all the way into Georgia today.  Here in Michigan, passing clouds mixed with abundant sunshine and mild temperatures.  Severe weather...go fish!


Lots of sunshine with a smattering of high clouds in Michigan right now on the visible satellite image, and the Detroit NEXRAD radar is sound asleep, with no activity on it.  In a nutshell, if you could make the days of the week switch places, the forecast for one should still hold with almost no changes all week!

Here's the local forecast for Jackson County:


For today, mostly sunny skies with a few passing clouds, cool and comfy with a high of 72.  Northerly winds 7-14 MPH.


Tonight, a mixture of stars and clouds, cool, low 48, winds N 5-10 MPH.


Tuesday, a rewind and repeat of Monday.  Mainly sunny with a few scattered clouds, a bit warmer with a high of 75.  Winds NE 7-14 MPH.


Tuesday night, another instant replay of the previous night.  Lots of stars with some clouds occasionally, cool, low 49, winds N 5-10 MPH.


Wednesday, another press of the rewind and play buttons...plenty of sunshine with some clouds moving through, high 74, winds N 7-14 MPH.


Thursday, mostly sunny, some clouds add a bit of decoration to the sky, warmer with a high of 76.


Friday, more of the same...abundant sunshine, scattered clouds, add a few degrees to the thermometer, high 82.


Saturday, you guessed it - sunshine aplenty, a few clouds for variety, warming a bit more, high 85.


That's a look at your very quiet forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great Monday!  Blessings.