Thursday, June 21, 2012

Cooling Down...Coming Soon...

Good Afternoon!


We have made it though a hot day yesterday and a warm morning today.  It looks like relief is finally on the way, in the form of a cold front that is kicking off some showers and thunderstorms ahead of it.  On the backside of that, we should see temperatures retreat for the next couple of days.  Let's take a peek and see what's going on this first full day of summer...


TEMPERATURES:  Temperatures roll back on the cool side of the front as it moves through the area.  Drier Canadian air holds temperatures right around the 80 degree mark for the next few days, and humidity values come down as well.  A bigger cool down is on tap next week, with temperatures topping out in the low to middle 70's if things play out as advertised according to computer modeling!  In fact, the GFS computer model likes a high temperature of 72 for Monday!


RAIN:  We have a chance at some scattered showers and perhaps a roaming thunderstorm today as the cold front and associated low move through the area.  After that, not much for the next few days, so again, we will still be way behind what we need as far as monthly rainfall.  The National Weather Service is thinking we pick up between a quarter to a half-inch of rain the next five days, which we may, but it will be scattered and hit or miss, and not very uniform in nature.  A good, uniform, soaking rain would help a bunch right now!  Here's the 5 day precipitation map from the National Weather Service...
5 Day Precipitation Forecast


SEVERE WEATHER:  Not much of that here in the area for the next three days according to the Storm Prediction Center.  In fact, today is the only day that we have anything on the map to deal with, and that's just a low end 5% chance for storms with damaging straight line winds.  This is the first time in a while that the whole of Michigan, both peninsulas, will be fairly quiet as far as severe weather is concerned.  Here's the maps for days one and two with their "general" risk areas outlined...
Day 1 Severe Outlook

Day 2 Severe Outlook


Here's a look at the visible satellite at this hour, and the scattered showers and storms on the Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar.
Visible Satellite Image

Grand Rapids (GRR) NEXRAD Radar Reflectivity Image
Here's the forecast for Jackson County:



For the rest of today, mixed clouds and sunshine, a chance of an isolated or widely scattered shower or a rogue thunderstorm, high temperature 85, winds W 7-14 MPH.


Tonight, variably cloudy skies with perhaps a stray shower early, then some peeks at stars, much cooler, lows drop to 59, NNW winds 5-10 MPH.


Friday, partly cloudy skies, not as warm as Thursday, with a high of 81, winds NNW 5-10 MPH.


Friday night, clearing skies, cooler, lows drop to 55, winds NNW 3-8 MPH.


Saturday, mainly sunny, maybe a few clouds, high 81.


Sunday, partly sunny, a slight chance of an isolated or widely scattered afternoon shower or pop-up thunderstorm, high 80.


Monday, more clouds than sun, very cool, high only 72.


Tuesday, mainly sunny, still unseasonably cool, high 73.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great rest of your Thursday!  Blessings.

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