Monday, June 25, 2012

Cool It Off, Then Re-Heat It...

Good Morning!


With the passage of a cold front, winds have shifted around to the north, cool dry Canadian air is in place, and we will see temperatures remain in the 70's for today and tomorrow, before warming back up into more seasonable conditions for the rest of the week and heading into the 4th of July holiday.  Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Debby is wreaking havoc in the Gulf of Mexico, bringing flooding rains to parts of the Gulf Coast, and spawning numerous tornadoes in Florida that have claimed at least one life.  Let's take a deeper dive and see what we have in store...


TEMPERATURES: The cold front has moved through, northeasterly winds are in place, and drier air has worked it's way into the area - dewpoint temperatures are in the lower 50's now, as opposed to the 50-60 degree readings we have seen over the last few days.  Fair skies and dry conditions are sum result of it all.  We stay below 80 until Thursday, when the heat that has been baking the Plains filters in here, fortunately, not with the gusto that brought record heat yesterday to places such as Tuscaloosa, AL with a high of 101, and Dodge City, KS, with a high of 107.  We'll push back into the upper 80's with a 90 or two thrown into the mix for the weekend.


RAIN:  We're in short supply, and we need it.  Lawns are browning over and crops are feeling the lack of moisture as the days pass.  According to the National Weather Service, Jackson is only about a half-inch below normal for the month, but it's more year to date.  And of course, the NWS 5 day precipitation forecast is no help either.  Look at this map....


5 Day Precipitation Forecast
That's right - BONE DRY for the next five days if this is correct, and multiple computer models in agreement indicates that this pattern looks to be a valid one with a good chance to verify over the course of the work week.  We'd like a little bit of rain between now and the 4th of July, to help crops and yards, and to minimize the risk of fireworks cancellation because it's too dry.  The good news is that this map is only good until 8AM EDT on Friday.  Computers are discussing enhanced chances of rain for the weekend, of the scattered shower or storm variety.  That'll sure help!


SEVERE WEATHER:  In a word...NOPE.  Nothing even close to the Great Lakes or even the Midwest for the next three days according to the Storm Prediction Center.  All the rough stuff is out on the Eastern Seaboard, with a "slight" risk from North Carolina up through Massachusetts, and of course, Florida and south Georgia courtesy of Tropical Storm Debby.  Here's a look at the Day One map only, valid at 8AM.


SPC Day 1 Severe Storm Forecast Map (Valid 8AM EDT)
Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar is sound asleep with just the usual ground clutter circle on it, and the visible satellite shows just the hint of some small puffy cumulus.


Visible Satellite Picture
Seasonably cool and comfy right now, 66 at the airport with winds north at 12 MPH.  Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Hanover-Horton and Grass Lake:


Today, mostly sunny skies with a few puffy passing clouds and a high temperature of 73, winds N 7-14 MPH.


Tonight, mostly starry skies, unseasonably cool, a bit chilly in fact with lows dropping all the way to 47.  Winds NW 3-9 MPH.


Tuesday, mainly clear, a few clouds pass during the day, warmer with a high of 76, north winds calm to 6 MPH.


Tuesday night, clear skies good for stargazing continue, not as cool, lows roll back to 51, winds becoming SW 5-10 MPH.


Wednesday, another winner, mostly sunny, warmer and seasonable as the heat dome in the Plains starts creeping toward us, high 83.


Thursday, clouds increase and make it partly to mostly cloudy, a peek or two of sun is still expected, warmer still, high of 86.


Friday, a mix of clouds and sun, chance of a late afternoon shower or storm, still warm with a high of 86.


Saturday, partly sunny, warm, high 85.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a good Monday!  Blessings.

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