Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Summer? Not According To The Thermometer...

Good Morning!

The cooler weather has settled into the area, and it will remain with us for the next few days.  In fact, we may not see 70 again until Saturday, if everything plays out as advertised by the computer modeling.  Let's take a deeper dive and see what's going on.

TEMPERATURES:  Now that the short wave trough and cold front have pushed through the area, northwesterly flow from Canada is in place, leading up to a cool start for meteorological summer, which is June 1st.  The warmest temperature in the computer modeling is 76 on Monday, with increasing clouds along the way.  Below normal for sure.  And if you can believe it, the NAM and GFS computer models are calling for 58 and 59 for highs on Friday!

RAIN:  As it stands now, from Thursday night on is our best chance for rain, and it looks like Friday may be pretty much a washout.  The National Wather Service thinks that we should pick up about three-quarters of an inch of rain in the next five days, through 7AM Sunday.  Here's a look at that map for you...


Right around Oklahoma and Arkansas, they are expected to get almost four inches the next five days.  We could use some of that up here, for sure.  Normally we get around three inches of rain in Jackson during May.  So far we only have .60, or a little better than a half-inch of rain for the month.  A good soaking rain would be very beneficial.

SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing here in Michigan for the next three days, but look out now, a "moderate" risk bullseye over most fo Oklahoma and extreme north-central Texas today.  That "moderate" risk includes a 10% chance for tornadoes and an almost 50-50 shot at hail producing storms.  Here's the map for today.


And here's the map for tomorrow, showing the risk area sliding east.  Dixie Alley may get some action, even though they could do without it, aside from rain, as they are dry there as well.  That area covers a a lot of ground, starting in Texas, moving northeast through the deep south and up into the lower Ohio Valley.


Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar is all quiet, with nothing aside from the ever-present ground clutter at this hour, and the visible satellite has just some mid-level clouds on it north of us.


Here's the local forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Tompkins and Cement City:



Today, plenty of sunshine, much cooler, high only 70, winds NW 7-14 MPH.


Tonight, mostly starry skies with passing clouds, chilly, with nighttime lows all the way down to 41, winds northerly 5-10 MPH.


Thursday starts clear, then clouds slowly start increasing during the afternoon, continued cool with a high of 62.  Winds N 3-8 MPH.


Thursday night cloudy skies, not quite as cold, scattered showers expected by daybreak, low 44, winds N calm to 5 MPH.


Friday, cloudy skies, showers and thunderstorms likely, unseasonably cool with a high of 58.


Saturday, cloudy skies, cooler, scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm are likely, high near 70.


Sunday, more clouds than sunshine, chance of a few scattered showers, warmer, high of 73.


Monday, sunny skies, seasonable, high 76.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope you have a great hump day Wednesday!  Blessings!

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