Thursday, May 31, 2012

Chilly and Damp...Then Slowly Improving...

Good Morning!


A cool start to the day today, with temperatures here in the mid 40's.  That's still not as cool as it was in the northern half of the mitten last night, where there were frost and freeze advisories!  That's not something that you hear of toward the end of May normally!  Let's take a deeper dive and see what's on tap for the next few days...


TEMPERATURES:  We'll see some of the coldest temperatures that we have seen here in south central Michigan in quite awhile today and tomorrow, as I am not expecting us to even break 60 tomorrow, and if we do, it'll be with a 61.  The GFS and NAM computer models are suggesting 59 and 56 for daytime highs tomorrow!  After we get through Friday, temperatures start to make a slow climb back to seasonal levels, with mid 70's expected for back to work next week.  Just take a look at the surface temperature readings around the US this hour...




RAIN:  We definitely could use some around here, and it looks like the rain gauge will get a flying start tomorrow, with rain pretty much all day.  That still won't offset the 2.5 inches we are short this month so far, but it sure will help, as the lawns are starting to look parched, even with regular sprinkling.  I expect shower activity to start in earnest this afternoon, after a few sprinkles here and there throughout the area.  Here's a look at what the National Weather Service thinks we'll get as far as rain for the next five days...




We are expected to pick up just over an inch, and we'll likely get the lion's share of that in the next 24 to 48 hours.


SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing here in Michigan for the next three days, but off to the south of us in the lower Ohio Valley and working back toward Texas, there's a chance at some severe weather today, and then the threat moves off to the east, over Georgia, the Carolinas, the Virginias, and up to Pennsylvania.  It will be too cool for any severe weather up here for the next day or two.  This map from the Storm Prediction Center shows the wind probability associated with severe storms, meaning gusty thunderstorms with some hail are the primary threats for the areas affected...




Plenty of clouds in the satellite image, with the more organized rain producing clouds, back toward the lake, and into Chicago and points southwest.  Below that, the Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar shows showers out over Lake Michigan drifting this way, even though they are dying off as they move east right now, that's the post-lunchtime rain I allude to in the forecast.





Here's a look at the local forecast for Jackson County:


Today mainly cloudy skies, a chance of showers after lunchtime, continued cool with a high of 62.  Winds N 7-14 MPH.


Tonight cloudy skies, not quite as cold, scattered showers expected by daybreak, low 47, northerly winds calm to 5 MPH.


Friday, cloudy skies, showers are likely, unseasonably cool with a high of 58.  Winds NW 8-15 MPH, gusting to 20 MPH.


Friday night, rain tapers off late, leaving mainly cloudy skies with some breaks for stars, low 44.  Winds becoming W 7-14 MPH.


Saturday, some clearing, perhaps a chance of an isolated lingering shower, warmer, high near 70.


Sunday, more clouds than sunshine, chance of a few scattered showers, warmer, high of 73.


Monday, skies become mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, high 75.


Tuesday, a mix of clouds and sun, seasonable and nice, high 78.


There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, have a great Thursday.  Blessings!

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