Wednesday, September 11, 2013

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING, CALHOUN, JACKSON

Until 5:45 PM for a storm moving east at 15 MPH with winds up to 60 MPH and quarter sized hail.

Move indoors and let these pass!

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH POSTED

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is effect until midnight for all counties in the blog except Clinton.  Counties are:

Branch, Hillsdale, Lenawee, Calhoun, Jackson, Washtenaw, Eaton, Ingham, Livingston, Shiawassee

High winds, hail and hail up to 2" is possible.  Stay aware.

Friday, September 6, 2013

FOOTBALL FORECASTS

College Football, the great way to spend a Saturday afternoon.  Here's a look at the forecast for our two Big 10 teams as they prepare to do battle tomorrow:



Enjoy the games!

Warming Up - Maybe Some Rain?

Good Evening!

Man I just can't seem to get fully caught up with everything, trying to get setlled and back on the feet is proving to be quite a challenge.  Oh well.

One thing that isn't proving to be a challenge is enjoying some of this gorgeous late summer weather with just a hint of fall in the mornings.  Temperatures in the mid to upper 70's the last several days with nighttime lows in the 50's and low humidity have made it quite enjoyable, along with the lack of rain.

WARMER WEEKEND AHEAD:  Taking a look into the weekend, tomorrow is shaping up to be warm,with temperatures into the 80's, and the possibility of a couple of scattered showers or thunderstorms as a surface front sags southward tomorrow afternoon.  If you're on the south side of the front, expect highs anywhere from 82 to 87, with readings dropping back into the 70's as the system works through the area.

THE MENTION OF SOME RAIN:  I have said and will continue to say, that models don't do well forecasting summer convection.  Especially when all it takes a little bit of difference in how much sun a place sees to determine whether there will be showers or not.  Looking at the forecast data, the computers are split on whether we see anything here.  As a result, we'll add in the mention of about a 3 in 10 crack at some showers with perhaps a lone thunderstorm or two, and the best chance for that will be after about 3 PM EDT.  I can't get much more specific than that.  Perhaps we'll get lucky and the models may be able to bracket an area for us with the next run.

A QUICK TEMPERATURE ROLLBACK:  After we get through tomorrow, we see some cooling in temperatures as readings roll back into the upper 70's, but don't get used to that.  It looks like our Indian Summer may be in effect, with readings pushing 90 by mid week, along with some better chances at more showers and storms.

FOOTBALL WEATHER:  You may have to deal with just a lone shower if you're partaking of the night game at the Big House in Ann Arbor as the University of Michigan Wolverines battle the Fightin' Irish of Notre Dame.  The kickoff is set for 8 PM and game time should have some scattered clouds and a temperature around 78 degrees.  The early game is up in East Lansing as Michigan State does battle with the South Florida Bulls at high noon.  The temperature should be around 74 under mainly clear skies.

Here's a look at the forecast for Jackson and vicinity:

Tonight, mainly clear, some high clouds, comfortable, lows near 58, wind SSW 4-7 MPH.

Tomorrow, sunny to start with some increasing clouds, a late afternoon shower or isolated storm can't be ruled out, high 83, wind SW 5-10 MPH.

Tomorrow night, becoming cloudy, a better chance of scattered showers or a couple of hit and run thunderstorms, lows near 60.  Wind SW 4-8 MPH, turning NE 5-10 as the surface front drops through.

Sunday, sunny skies, much cooler, high 75.

There's a look at your forecast, have a wonderful evening!  Blessings.


Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Quick Peek - Today and Tomorrow.

Good Morning!

Nothing like starting off back out of the gate with a busted forecast.  Cloudiness that persisted into the morning hours limited the drop in temperature, so instead of clear skies, we had cloudy skies and readings about 10 degrees warmer than what I forecast.  Such is life.

Taking a look at forecast data right now, temperatures are going to climb some over the next few days, and we'll keep the mixed sunshine around for the next several days.  We may pick up a stray shower on Saturday or Sunday, but I don't see another really credible chance of rain until next Wednesday.  Not much in the way of severe weather expected across the lower 48 either.  The only slight risk areas are well away from Michigan, up into the Pacific Northwest, Washington state and parts of Idaho.

Here's the forecast for Jackson:

Today:  Mixed sunshine, seasonably cool, high 73.  Wind WNW 5-10 MPH.

Tonight: Starry skies and cool, low 53, wind NW 3-6 MPH.

Tomorrow: Mainly sunny, some clouds, high 76, wind WNW 4-8 MPH.

We'll have a more detailed forecast for you later on.  Have a great day!