Early Evening Update...

Good Evening...

With an opportunity to look at some fresh data, some changes are in order.  First the big one, with no even short periods of sun this afternoon in the area, 77 is not going to happen.  We'll finish the day with a high of 72.  Scattered shower activity is lurking in the area right now.  Here's a look at the updated Grand Rapids NEXRAD image.

Grand Rapids NEXRAD Radar

As you can see, some areas are having, or will soon have a wet commute home.  I do have to say that I think the rain is more widely scattered than this radar image indicates.  As you get further away from Grand Rapids, the radar is shooting a few thousand feet up in the air as opposed to close to earth, so some of the blue return isn't even hitting the ground.

We'll keep temperatures cool tonight, then we actually do see low or mid 70's for tomorrow.

I'll have more for you later!

Cloudy, Cooler, More Damp...

Hello Again!

TEMPERATURES:  We see temperatures in the 70's until midweek, when an 80 or two is likely in the area.  Modeling indicates that the late summer/early fall regime should hold for the next several days, with temperatures running a bit below normal.  The ridge trough pattern continues, and with it, cool Canadian air.  A series of shortwave disturbances work into and through the troughs, bringing rain chances.  Cooler conditions as well, with forecast modeling suggesting 60's next week.

RAIN:  The National Weather Service is predicting that we'll see rainfall totals around an inch for most areas in the blog for the next five days, and that looks about right.  Wednesday looks to be the only really dry day of the next several, with the chance of scattered showers or a roaming thunderstorm every day except Wednesday.  Here's a look at that five day forecast map for you...

5 Day Precipitation Forecast

This looks about right for the next few days, the data I have looked at doesn't suggest that the rain amounts are out of line.  If anything, what you'll see is heavier rain centered in a track from southwest to northeast, so the west end of the South zone gets a good soaking (Branch, Calhoun, northwest Jackson), then that tracks up and  through the east end of the North zone (Shiawassee, Livingston).

SEVERE WEATHER:  Not much of that in the outlook for south central Michigan.  The Storm Prediction Center has us under just a general risk of thunderstorms for the next two days, with a slight risk well south today and into Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia tomorrow.

The Grand Rapids NEXRAD has some shower activity on it, that will make it's way in here as the day progresses.  It's not as organized as it was earlier this morning, so coverage will be uneven, as is typical this time of year.

Grand Rapids NEXRAD

The visible satellite is cloudy as all get out, as this current system tracks through the area.

Visible Satellite Image

Today, mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, perhaps a buried thunderstorm, high 77, winds SW 5-10 MPH.

Tonight, more scattered showers, cloudy, low 57, winds SW 5-10 MPH.

Tuesday, clouds stay with us for much of the day, along with some lingering scattered showers, high 75, winds NW 6-12 MPH.

Tuesday night, clouds finally thin out and depart, leaving it mainly clear late, low of 55, winds N 5-9 MPH.

Wednesday, periods of clouds and sunshine, a very small chance of an isolated shower, breezy, high 76.

Thursday, partly sunny, breezy, warmer, a widely scattered shower or lonely thunderstorm is possible later in the day, high 79.

Friday, cloudy, a chance of some scattered showers, cooler, high 73.

Saturday, partly cloudy skies, we still can't eliminate the chance of a few scattered midday showers, high 73.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days.  I do hope that you have a great day!  Blessings.

Monday Outlook...

Good Morning!

Here's how your Monday looks, full discussion and forecast later!

Warmer With More Rain...

Hello Again!

Plenty of sun on tap for today before clouds start to roll in ahead of a system that will touch off some precipitation.  Let's take a look under the hood and see what's running:

TEMPERATURES:  After plenty of needed and beneficial rain, we get a break and some warming.  Temperatures today return to more seasonable levels, with mid to upper 70's and perhaps an 80 or two for daytime highs through midweek, with temperatures falling back into the 58-65 range during the night for the next few days.

RAIN:  More on the way, and we'll take it.  Showers and perhaps a storm or two starting late Monday and going through Tuesday.  In fact, each day this week a chance at some showers is on the table.  Too late to do anything about the boosting the fall harvest unfortunately, but still needed and a benefit nonetheless.  Here's the National Weather Service's idea of rain over the next five days:

5 Day Precipitation Forecast

Look at that 1.6 inch bullseye just west of us here in the blog area!  That'll help out a bunch.  Based on what the models are suggesting now, that 1.6 inch total isn't overdone, and rain amounts will taper back toward the one inch mark as you go south.  Modeling is in agreement that a low tracks ENE after it gets to near Kalamazoo midweek.

SEVERE WEATHER:  Nothing in the way of organized severe storms for the next three days according to the Storm Prediction Center.  There is a "general" risk of garden-variety thunderstorms for the entire state on Monday.

Grand Rapids NEXRAD radar is quiet, the visible satellite image shows clear skies over us right now, but you see the next system to the west that will start working in here this evening into tomorrow...

Visible Satellite Image

Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding communities including Spring Arbor and Michigan Center

Today, sunny to start, clouds increase late in the day, high 76, winds W 5-9 MPH.

Tonight, a mix of clouds and stars, some isolated to widely scattered showers are possible, lows roll back to 56, winds WNW 4-8 MPH.

Tomorrow, cloudy skies with showers, perhaps a buried thunderstorm, high 79, winds WSW 7-14 MPH.

Tomorrow night, showers continue, cooler, low 57, winds SW 5-10 MPH.

Tuesday, showers taper off during the morning, then partly sunny, high 75.

Wednesday, periods of clouds and sunshine, an isolated shower cannot be ruled out, breezy, high 76.

Thursday, cloudy, widely scattered to scattered showers, high 78.

Friday, continued cloudy, still the chance of a widely scattered shower, high 77.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days.  I do hope that you have a great day!  Blessings.

Sunday Looks Good...

Good Morning!

Sunday should be a winner!

Detailed forecast  and discussion on the way!