Monday, July 21, 2014

A Touch Of Summer Heat - Then Cooler...

Good Morning!

A lot of things going on both in and out of work the last week or so, therefore my time has been limited.  Not a ton of things going on in this part of the world weather-wise, so that's good.  Things starting to change a little bit though, so let's take a look...

SUMMER WARMTH IS BACK:  It definitely will feel like summer the next day or so, with readings in the upper 80's; I won't be shocked at all to see a 90 or two in the south zone today or tomorrow.  Ridge setup over most of the USA with a a 594 heat dome making his presence known just off to the southwest of Michigan.  Plenty of heat to go around.  Here's a bird's eye view about 18,000 feet up...


QUIET FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO:  Nothing much to see in the way of showers or storms for the next day or so.  The ridge is just too strong and the air isn't right for storm formation.  Too stable at this point.  Could we have a lonely storm fire?  Sure - but doubtful given this setup.  Just a lot of warm air coming up from the south as the west winds off the Pacific have to run WAY south then turn around the bottom of the heat dome you just saw.  Wednesday, a small upper disturbance could give us some showers and maybe a thunderstorm as it works through the area.

NOT A LOT OF RAIN - HERE ANYWAY:  Check out the 5-day Precipitation forecast map...


This suggests to me that we'll see some showers and storms tomorrow evening and Wednesday in West Michigan, with the thinking being they'll fizzle out as they move east across the state.  That's the big picture, but there's still some smaller puzzle pieces that could change this.

Just to toss in really quickly, folks in the Dakotas and Minnesota could be in for some adventure today, as the Storm Prediction Center has placed that area in a Moderate risk for severe weather.  Here's that map:


And here's the forecast for Jackson and vicinity:

Today:  Sunny with a couple of passing clouds, warm, high 86.  Wind S 8-16 MPH.

Tonight:  Moonlit skies, some clouds float by, lows near 60, wind SE 4-8 MPH.

Tuesday:  AM sunshine, increasing clouds in the afternoon - we mention the possibility of an isolated shower or storm, high 90.  Wind SSE 6-12 MPH.

Tuesday Night:  Cloudy, some scattered showers or a thunderstorm, low near 63.  Wind SSE 5-10 MPH.

Wednesday:  Cloudy to start, a few lingering showers, then clearing.  Cooler.  High 80.

Thursday:  More sun than clouds, seasonably mild, high 79.

Friday:  Sunny and pleasant, high 80.

There's your forecast through the end of the workweek, I'll work on a weekend forecast for you as time permits the next day or two.  Blessings!

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