Saturday, June 28, 2014

Some Stormy Weather...

Good Morning!

SUMMERTIME PATTERN IN PLACE:  Hazy sunshine with periods of clouds, and humid will be the watchwords for the next couple of days, culminating in some showers and storms as we head into the shortened workweek.  The 4th of July looks to be a seasonably cool one, assuming forecast models have a handle on the big picture.  Showers and storms, some severe, are about where you would expect them to be this time of year, in the Great Plains.

RAIN STARTS UP AS SOON AS THIS AFTERNOON:  The lion's share of the rain looks to begin about 9 PM or so in scattered fashion throughout the area.  It could certainly start sooner than that, with SSE winds and dewpoints in the upper 60's or better, giving us a setup for scattered storms.  As it stands while I write this now, the best bet for scattered storms to pop and fire would be Branch and Calhoun counties.   We'll have to see how the day progresses and watch things like how much sunshine we get, upper disturbances, that sort of thing.

MORE SUBSTANTIAL RAINS TOMORROW AND MONDAY:  Forecast data indicates a low tracking through Canada dragging a cold front along with it for Sunday evening and Monday.  This will be the trigger to give us some widespread showers and thunderstorms as the high pressure we have had the last day or two slides on off the eastern seaboard.  Look at this map:


As you can see, the Weather Prediction Center thinks that we'll have a pretty wet stretch of days leading up to the 4th, with an inch and a half in this part of the world, and a bullseye of almost 3 inches right around Cadillac.

HOLIDAY LOOKS GOOD SO FAR:  The holiday weekend looks to be dry and pleasant, once we get through the 2nd of July.  Temperatures look to be in the mid to upper 70's with abundant sunshine.  I don't see any issues with fireworks on the 3rd either, maybe some clouds or an isolated shower, but nothing that would cancel a show.  The good news with all of the rain we have had this Spring is that shows won't need to need to be canceled due to high fire danger.


Here's the forecast for Jackson and vicinity:




I'll have a fresh six day planner for you later.  Have a wonderful day!  Blessings.

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