Saturday, April 12, 2014

A Hint Of Early Summer...Then Back To Reality

Good Morning!

Fantastic Spring weather in the area today I sit at the keyboard.  Plenty of sunshine to go around, and reading that could top out as high as 71 depending on your location.  Enjoy it, because we will see some sharp changes as we start the new calendar week.  Let's have a look:

SUNSHINE AND WARMTH START IT OFF:  Sunshine and blue skies with some high clouds start off the day today.  We'll keep things like that and move up the thermometer nicely during the morning and early afternoon hours.

CLOUDS DEVELOP THEN CHANGES BEGIN:  More substantial clouds start to filter in during the afternoon hours.  Ceilings start to lower somewhat, and we introduce a chance of scattered showers with perhaps some thunder into the area.  Have a look at the current radar composite:


You see an ongoing unruly mob of showers and storms out in Wisconsin and northern Illinois.  Those will continue to migrate almost due east and impact Michigan later today and into tonight.  At the moment, I don't see anything severe in the cards, but again, some thunder is possible.  Have a look at the Storm Prediction Center map for today:

Michigan is in a "general" risk for thunderstorms today, with a slight risk of severe storms across the lake, including southern Wisconsin, northern Illinois, most of Iowa, and a bit of Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska and Kansas.
STORMY SUNDAY?:  Looking ahead, we'll keep periods of showers and a few storms in the forecast through tonight and into Sunday morning.  I expect a bit of broken sunshine in spots into early afternoon, but we then bump up the chance of showers and storms for south central Michigan.  It will be a similar setup as today, scattered showers with a chance at a few buried thunderstorms.  I expect these will be more vigorous than what we have in the area for today and tonight, as a twin barreled low pressure system moves over us, and pulls in MUCH cooler air behind it.

A CHILLY START TO THE NEW WEEK:  Once we get our Sunday weather maker out of here Monday, we start the new week with readings that are 15 degrees below normal instead of 15 degrees above!  I'll also mention that readings will be chilly enough to support snow.  Yes, I said it.  Unfortunately, I do have to mention a chance of snow flurries or even a dusting Monday as well.  Thankfully, anything that does fall as snow should be light and non-accumulating, since we've had a few days of warmer weather to thaw the ground and not leave a base for snow to stick.  I'll know more about that threat tomorrow, as the forecast models do their thing and refine their estimates.  The silver lining in all that?  Once the cold front moves off to the east, clearing skies and seasonable temperatures that start climbing again after Tuesday.  I expect a return to our mild 60's by Thursday.

Here's the forecast for Jackson and vicinity:






And the extended outlook:


That's how it all stacks up.  I hope you have a wonderful day!  Blessings.

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