Sunday, March 2, 2014

Snow Stops - More Cold Coming!!!

Good Afternoon!

Cloudy skies in the area at this hour, but we do note some sun trying to squeeze in!  The snow that dropped as much as 5” in a few spots has left the area, and we’ll be in a quiet stretch for a bit – unless you’re over by the lakeshore, in which case the lake effect snow machine will keep you busy for a bit longer if you live in the snow box.  Let’s have a look at what’s going on, one deeper dive coming up!

NO MORE SNOW (FOR NOW):  The snow maker has moved on off to the east now, and it will create headaches for our neighbors off to the south and eventually New York and New England.  Here we’ll be under the influence of Canadian high pressure, and clearing skies will not only diminish our snow chances, but drop temperatures as well, at least into midweek.  After that, I am seeing a bit of…

MODERATION AND SNOW:  Can’t seem to get the S word out of the forecast for any length of time.  It’s been that way this winter, and the pattern doesn’t change.  If you’ll notice, our temperatures plummet between snow events as we clear off and high pressure filters in from across the border.  When the mercury starts rising, so does the risk for snow or some kind of precipitation falling from the sky, and it’s no different here.  Let’s talk about what’s cooking:

MORE FRIGID WEATHER, THEN MODERATING:  These next couple of days in South Central Michigan will see chilly daytime highs and frigid lows as minimal cloud cover allows our daytime heating from the sun to vanish back into the air at night (that’s called radiational cooling for you science buffs out there!).  The good news is that this cold air mass actually moderates a bit later this week, with a shot at breaking freezing for Thursday and Friday.  Average high in Jackson this time of year is right around 41, we’ll make it to about 35, then roll back into the upper 20’s for the weekend.

REGULAR SNOW CHANCES:  After Tuesday, we see regular chances of snow pretty much every day.  The best chances will be on Thursday and Friday, as milder temperatures combine with southerly flow and increased moisture that will be around when upper disturbances work through the area.  Yep.  We’re back in the clipper pattern.  The good news is that I am not seeing a whole lot of accumulation with these clipper deals coming through here.


ANOTHER BIG STORM?:  At the moment, there is a chance that we could see a significant snowstorm next weekend.  I’m mentioning it now, just on the chance that other models pick up on this idea and run with it.  It’s far too early to see what next Saturday and beyond will hold, and it’s only one model that is showing this, the Canadian model (GEM).  I’ll look at data as we get closer to that time and see what we have.

Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Spring Arbor and Rives Junction:

Tonight -Clearing skies, colder, low all the way down to -3, wind chills as cold as -10.  Wind N 3-6 MPH

Monday - Mainly sunny, a few passing clouds, high 11.  N winds turning SW 3-5 MPH.

Monday Night - Mostly starry, continued frigid, low 0.  Wind SSW 3-6 MPH.

Tuesday - Sunny to start, clouds start building in during the afternoon and evening, high 18.  35% chance of evening or overnight snow.

Wedensday - Mainly cloudy, 40% chance of snow, not as cold, high 27.

There's a look at your forecast for the next few days, we'll have the 7 day outlook soon!  Blessings, have a good night!


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