I have been away from the blog for a few days, a lot has happened in the weather world, if you pay attention to the news and the earlier post on the blog here. Three researchers/chasers killed Friday night, and a close shave for Mike Bettes from The Weather Channel, when his vehicle was picked up and thrown approximately 200 yards by the the El Reno tornado. Fortunately, him and all but one of the crew he was with escaped serious harm, suffering only minor injuries. 12 are dead from the latest round of tornadic weather, and I hope that number doesn't go any higher. It's a sobering reminder that weather will earn your respect - one way or the other. Here in Michigan we don't expect anything close to that for the next several days. I wish I could say Oklahoma and Kansas are done with severe weather for awhile, but that's not the case. More on that in the severe part of this post. Let's take a deeper dive and see what we have closer to home.
TEMPERATURES: Unseasonably cool weather has settled into the area as a trough works through. It's June 2nd, and way up north at the top of the mitten, at this hour we have readings of 48 in Petoskey and 44 in Gaylord! Out ahead of the trough, New England is getting some of the severe weather we experienced last week. Severe storms with hail as far north as Maine today. Here in our part of the world, just temperatures in the mid 50's with a 62 in Ann Arbor and a 64 in Adrian being the warm spots...
We'll keep these cool readings around for the next couple of days, then start gradually climbing the ladder with respect to temperature. Readings around the area will remain in the 60's until at least Wednesday or Thursday, when we get back into the lower 70's. The average temperature in Jackson this time of the year is 77, so the 10-15 degrees below normal we start the work week with is unusual to say the least! Taking a look at temperatures around the nation, you get a sense of the bigger picture with the ridge/trough setup over the country...
We warm up as that upper air pattern flattens out some, then a ridge starts to build in closer to us, allowing some warmth to filter in, as opposed to the zonal flow we see into mid-week with wind coming in off the Pacific and not mixing with much of anything but perhaps a bit of cool Canadian air. That change comes in time for the weekend, where we should see highs right around 76, which is refreshing, but cool for the first week of June!
RAIN: Plenty of clouds right now with not many breaks in them, but no forcing to really bother the atmosphere enough to rain, and not a lot of moisture, with dewpoints sitting in the 50's for the most part. It's a fairly benign pattern, and we stay in it for the next few days, with the next quality chance at some showers in the area coming on Thursday afternoon. That being said, on Wednesday and Friday we'll cover the bases by tossing in just the mention of a possible stray shower, but most places should be nice and dry. I'm fairly sure that the computer forecast models will change the timing of the rain, but from the perch right now, that's where we stand. Let's look at the Weather Prediction Center's Precipitation map:
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| 7 Day Precipitation Forecast |
SEVERE WEATHER: Michigan is on the sidelines for at least the next three to four days regarding severe weather. I would go out beyond that, but I'm curious to see what may develop with our Wednesday-Friday shot at rain. I don't expect any bad news up this way, but you never know. Unfortunately, the storm-weary Plains don't get much a of a break at all, with the Storm Prediction Center showing a "slight" risk for Monday and Tuesday, both days involving Kansas and Oklahoma - North Texas gets a piece of that as well. Let's pray for Oklahoma, and hope that this threat doesn't verify!
Nothing on the Grand Rapids NEXRAD but ground clutter, plenty of clouds in the area, but a little clearing starting to work in from the southwest:
And here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Concord and Grass Lake:
Tonight, clouds early then clearing, unseasonably cold, lows all the way down to 39, wind becoming N and tapering off to 2-5 MPH.
Monday, mainly clear skies with some passing clouds, cool, high only 69, wind N calm to 5 MPH.
Monday night, increasing clouds, not quite as cold, lows near 43. Wind NE 4-8 MPH.
Tuesday, becoming cloudy, a bit warmer, high 70. Wind ENE 4-7 MPH.
Wednesday, cloudy, just a small chance of an isolated shower a touch cooler than Tuesday, high 68.
Thursday, continued cloudy, a few scattered showers about, possibly a rumble of thunder, high 70.
Friday, a mix of clouds and some sunshine, we can't rule out a lingering shower over a spot or two, high 73.
Saturday, more sun than clouds, warmer, high 77.
There's a look at your forecast for the next several days, I do hope you had a great Sunday! Blessings.
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