Monday, April 29, 2013

Spring With A Taste Of Summer...

Good Morning!

We managed to survive the damp, dreary day yesterday.  I am still getting a new place to live in order, so pardon me for being away during the weekend.  I know on Thursday I forecast some showers and maybe some sun - wasn't even close.  Let's try it again today and see where we go.

TEMPERATURES:  We finally see a stretch of warmer, more seasonable weather for the early part of the week.  Temperatures should get to or above 70 today and tomorrow, and the first 80 of the year is possible Wednesday. A big difference in a year, we had already had 80's in March last year during our extended summer preview!  After we get through mid week, a cold front marches through the area, and we give back 10 to 20 degrees on the thermometer with readings back into the 60's briefly.  We should stabilize in the upper 60's or low 70's from mid-week on.  The average high this time of year in this part of Michigan is right around 66 degrees, and we don't stray too far from that after Thursday.  In the meantime, get ready for some  summer-like weather Tuesday and Wednesday!

PRECIPITATION:  You can expect a mixed bag of sorts for the next few days.  We'll have plenty of sunshine and southerly flow to boost temperatures, but along with that, we'll see some clouds and I'll add the mention of a couple of showers or maybe a roaming thunderstorm.  I don't see this being a washout as Sunday turned out to be, but I can't rule out the chance of some rain.  Keep an umbrella handy and understand that if you have anything outdoors planned early this week, you may encounter some raindrops.  Let's take a look at this map:

7 Day Precipitation Outlook
This is from the National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center, and this suggests that we'll see half to three-quarters of an inch in the blog.  That looks about right based on the data I am seeing at this point.

SEVERE WEATHER:  We don't see a formal risk of severe weather in Michigan for the three day window, just the chance of some garden variety thunderstorms.  The slight risk isn't all that far away, out over Iowa, Illinois, and southwest Wisconsin.  Low tornado risk associated with that, the Storm Prediction Center is thinking the primary threats are wind and perhaps some hail.

Let's have a look at the visible satellite image:


There you see the clouds in the area on the way out, but again - don't be shocked to see a stray shower or storm later today.

No rain in the area currently on the Grand Rapids NEXRAD.

Here's the forecast for Jackson and surrounding areas including Parma and Grass Lake:

Today, increasing sunshine as the day progresses, but we can't rule out the chance of a pop-up afternoon shower or thunderstorm,  high 71.  Wind SW 6-12 MPH.

Tonight, a mixture of moonlight and clouds, a shower or storm is possible, lows near 50.  Wind S 7-14 MPH.

Tuesday, almost an instant replay of Monday.  Clouds, a few breaks for sunshine a chance of a stray shower, warmer, high 77.  Wind S 5-10 MPH.

Tuesday night, partly cloudy skies, we can't eliminate the mention of an isolated shower or storm, low 57.  Wind S 6-12 MPH.

Wednesday, more sun than clouds - very warm, high 82.

Thursday, mainly cloudy, a chance of some showers or a thunderstorm, cooler, high 75.

Friday, continued periods of clouds and sunshine, cooler still, high 70.

Saturday, clouds give way to sunshine, a bit warmer, high 73.

Sunday, partly to mostly sunny, seasonable, high 69.

There's a look at your forecast for the next six days, I do hope that you have a great day!  Blessings!

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