Sunday, March 3, 2013

Sunshine Then Snow...Maybe A Lot...

Good Evening!

Some changes on the horizon for us on Tuesday as a storm system tracks south of us and moves through Indiana and Ohio.  Indications are that it'll be close enough to sideswipe us and leaves some new snow on the ground.  How much?  We'll talk about that below.  We also got to see something bright and shiny in the sky today!  After many days with minimal or no sunshine, right around lunchtime today the clouds thinned out and moved away, leaving us with gorgeous blue skies.  Let's take a look and try to sort this stuff out:

SUMMARY:  A brief break from the clouds and dreary conditions of winter for tomorrow, plenty of sunshine through the day...then the other shoe drops.  A low pressure system that for now looks to slide south of us and track through central Indiana and into Ohio, will drag a messy storm system along with it.  Winter Storm Watches are up in Chicago and points west.  Judging from the data right now, I would expect 3-6" of snow in the southern half of the blog, less as you go north.  We are still about a day out or so, and each forecast model run will tweak the solution a little more.

PRECIPITATION:  As I said, first blush looks to be 3-6 inches of snow in the south zone and less as you get to I-96 and points north.  Take a look at this map from the National Weather Service:

This map is good from 7 PM Monday night thru 7 PM Tuesday night
This map is the probability of snowfall totaling 4" or better.  As you can see, we fall right in the 50/50 area.   I expect this to go up as we get closer to Tuesday, and I would not be shocked to see Winter Weather Advisories start cropping up in the next 12-18 hours.  The good news is that this snow event will be followed by a moderation in temperature, so it won't take too long to start melting it off.

Here's the forecast for Jackson:

Tonight, clear and chilly, low 18, winds WNW 3-7 MPH.

Tomorrow, mainly sunny, a few clouds float by. high 34.  Wind becoming E 4-7 MPH as the day progresses.

Monday night, clouds start to increase, not quite as cold, low 21.  Winds E 6-12 MPH.

Tuesday, becoming cloudy, snow develops during the afternoon, high 33, wind NE 6-12 MPH.

There's your forecast for the next 36 hours, we'll have an update on the snow situation and a more detailed forecast later.  Blessings.

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