Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Not As Much As We Thought...

Good Morning!

Cloudy skies greet us this Tuesday as we watch and wait for some snow.  Let's get into it.

SUMMARY:  There is only one Winter Weather Advisory to speak of at this point, and that's for Branch County starting at 1 PM and going until 4 AM tomorrow morning.

I'm looking at the model data one last time before everything gets here, because in six hours this snow event should be underway.  I don't see a whole lot of change in the thinking from the other day regarding precipitation, except that it looks like the north zone of the blog may get off pretty much scot-free this trip.  After that moves out, just a chance of a few lingering flurries or light snow, then Canadian high pressure takes hold and keeps us seasonably cold until the tail end of the week.  Ridging starts to build in Friday, and we see temperatures climb with sunny skies.  Forecast models are suggesting mid 40's for the weekend - we'll definitely take that!

PRECIPITATION:  Depending on where you live, some snow this afternoon into tomorrow, then maybe a few flurries until the weekend.  For this event, Branch County, 2-5", up to 3" in Hillsdale County, and I would surprised to see anything over 1-2" anywhere else.  I expect to see a lot of cities in the blog, especially north, with reports of trace or zero for snowfall amounts.  Melting will continue Wednesday and right through the next several days with temperatures above freezing.

There's your outlook.  Unless something changes dramatically in the next 6 hours, I expect just a sideswipe for Branch, a "love tap" for Hillsdale county, and not much elsewhere.  Looking ahead to the weekend, with some southerly flow building in for the weekend, expect some rain Saturday/Sunday, nothing to lose sleep over.

Here's the forecast:

Some broken sunshine gives way to cloudy skies this afternoon with some snow developing after lunch, perhaps an inch before midnight, high 33, wind NE 7-13 MPH.

Tonight, cloudy skies, more snow, not more than another inch is expected by morning drive tomorrow, lows roll back to 23, wind NE 5-10 MPH.

Wednesday, cloudy skies, maybe a lingering flurry, warmer, high 36, wind N 5-10 MPH.

Wednesday night, cloudy skies, low 25, wind N 4-8 MPH.

There's a look at your next 48 hours, more to come later.  Have a great day!


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